Lithuania vs Bulgaria (LTU-BGR) result: Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier 2026, 17 Jul 2026

41.1%Win probability before the match58.9%
Map 1LithuaniawonMap 2Lithuaniawon

Lithuania vs Bulgaria: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating41 Elo points separate Lithuania (1610) and Bulgaria (1651).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormLithuania won 5 of their last 6; Bulgaria won 5 of 9. Lithuania come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Bulgaria a 59% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Lithuania vs Bulgaria: rosters

LithuaniaElo: #198
jL
Player comparison12 months before this match
59%Win rate47%
22Matches, 12 months79
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
26Age24
07/2026On the team since07/2026
708eDPI800
REDSTAR
REDSTARProfile
BulgariaElo: #221
REDSTARAWP
AWP
SHiPZ
SPELLANIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Lithuania and Bulgaria: form going into the match

Lithuania · 5 of 6 wonBulgaria · 5 of 9 wonWonLost
144615321619170616981516144615321619170616981516
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WUkraine2–0
WGermany2–1
WKosovo2–0
WNorth Macedonia2–0
WPoland2–0
LNorth Macedonia1–2
LUkraine0–2
WHungary2–1
LGermany0–2
WSweden2–0
LPoland0–2
LUkraine0–2
WMoldova1–0
WSerbia1–0
WAzerbaijan1–0