Aurora Gaming vs NIP (AUR-NIP) result: Thunderpick World Championship 2026, 15 Oct 2026

70.5%Win probability before the match29.5%
Watch back
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · Elimination MatchAurora GamingAurora GamingAurora GamingNIPNIPNIPNIPNIPVS
REPLAYYouTube · StreamCast_cs · EN

Aurora Gaming vs NIP: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Cache49 min
Aurora Gaming
13
CT7:5T6:4
NIP
9
MAP 2Dust II77 min
Aurora Gaming
13
T9:3CT4:4
NIP
7

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Aurora Gaming vs NIP: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating99 Elo points separate Aurora Gaming (1967) and NIP (1868).
  • Head-to-headAurora Gaming 6-1 NIP in 7 meetings since 2024. Aurora Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Cologne 2025 (). More
  • FormAurora Gaming won 6 of their last 10; NIP won 9 of 10. NIP are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Aurora Gaming a 71% chance.

Aurora Gaming vs NIP: rosters

Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
IGL
woxicAWP
XANTARES
woxic
woxicProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate56%
89Matches, 12 months59
6/10Last 10 matches9/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
28Age24
04/2025On the team since04/2026
2400eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
NIPElo: #12VRS: #18
Adamb
KrimboIGL
sjuush
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Aurora GamingTeamNIP
57% (122-92)Map win rate55% (122-99)
18-16Deciding maps won–lost17-22
65%Series wins without dropping a map58%
49 minAverage map length48 min
57%CT-side rounds won53%
57%First half won52%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Aurora Gaming vs NIP: meetings before this one

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Aurora Gaming ()

All 7 meetings

Aurora Gaming and NIP: form going into the match

Aurora Gaming · 6 of 10 wonNIP · 9 of 10 wonWonLost
180918721934199719671868180918721934199719671868
Elo after each match · oldernewer
L9z0–2
WSpirit2–0
LVitality1–2
W1WIN2–0
WFURIA2–1
WBetBoom Team2–1
LTeam Falcons0–2
W9z2–0
LVitality1–3
WVitality2–1
LTeam Falcons0–2
WInner Circle Esports2–0
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–1
WEternal Fire2–0
WBBL2–0
WSinners2–1
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WBBL1–0
WSportsBetExpert1–0
WHAVU1–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Aurora GamingWin %NIP
56%16 mapsWWLWL
Nuke
75%16 mapsWWLWW
64%14 mapsLWWLW
Mirage
54%13 mapsWWLLW
53%15 mapsWWLLW
Dust II
14%7 mapsLWLLL
79%14 mapsLWWWW
Anubis
50%8 mapsWLLWL
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
50%20 mapsLWWWL
43%7 mapsWLLWL
Inferno
83%6 mapsLWWWW
33%6 mapsLWWLL
Cache
43%7 mapsLWWWL
100%2 mapsWW
Overpass
–

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Bracket path

Elimination MatchAurora GamingAurora Gaming2NIPNIPNIP0This match