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500 vs Nexus (500-NXS) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 season 50 2025, 26 Oct 2025

500500Elo 16002NexusNexus#116 · Elo 15321
ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 season 50 2025 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
64.4%Win probability before the match35.6%
Map 1NexuswonMap 2500wonMap 3500won
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500 vs Nexus: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating68 Elo points separate 500 (1600) and Nexus (1532).
  • Head-to-head500 2-0 Nexus in 2 meetings since 2024. 500 took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier 2025 (). More
  • Form500 won 5 of their last 10; Nexus won 4 of 10. 500 come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave 500 a 64% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

500 vs Nexus: rosters

500
CeRqAWP
hampusIGL
Rainwaker
REDSTARAWP
CeRq
CeRqProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
51%Win rate35%
39Matches, 12 months26
5/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streakwon 2
25Age25
07/2024On the team since09/2024
880eDPI800
XELLOW
XELLOWProfile
NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
XELLOWAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

500TeamNexus
55% (177-146)Map win rate46% (172-203)
31-20Deciding maps won–lost21-38
56%Series wins without dropping a map64%
46 minAverage map length43 min
54%CT-side rounds won47%
61%First half won43%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

500 vs Nexus: meetings before this one

5005002wins0winsNexusNexus

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to 500 ()

BO3PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier 2025 · Group C50050089%22 : 0NexusNexus11%0BO1RES Season 6 2024 · Group B50050046%11 : 0NexusNexus54%0
All 2 meetings

500 and Nexus: form going into the match

500 · 5 of 10 wonNexus · 4 of 10 won
500500See all
LNuclear TigeRES0–2
WARCRED2–1
LGUN5 Esports0–2
LOramond1–2
LSangal0–2
WLeo Team2–1
WEYEBALLERS2–1
LNemiga1–2
WVP.Prodigy2–0
WkONO.ECF2–0
NexusNexusSee all
WVP.Prodigy2–1
WAMKAL ESPORTS2–0
LEYEBALLERS0–2
WOramond2–0
LALGO Esports1–2
LUNiTY esports1–2
WFORZE Reload2–0
LOramond0–2
LARCRED0–2
LBC.Game Esports0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

500Win %Nexus
67%6 mapsWLWWL
Mirage
50%10 mapsWWLWL
14%7 mapsLLLLW
Nuke
63%8 mapsLLWLW
75%4 mapsWWWL
Ancient
55%11 mapsWLLLW
0%2 mapsLL
Dust II
54%13 mapsWWLWL
67%3 mapsWWL
Anubis
33%6 mapsLLLLW
67%3 mapsLWW
Inferno
0%4 mapsLLLL
–
Train
40%5 mapsLLLWW
100%1 mapsW
Overpass
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA