Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES (Keyd-MW) result: ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 season 52 2026, 23 Sep 2026

74.1%Win probability before the match25.9%
Map 1METANOIA WOLVESwonMap 2KeydKeydwonMap 3METANOIA WOLVESwon
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Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating120 Elo points separate Keyd (1491) and METANOIA WOLVES (1371).
  • Head-to-headKeyd 3-1 METANOIA WOLVES in 4 meetings since 2024. Keyd took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT South America Series 2 2026 (). More
  • FormKeyd won 5 of their last 10; METANOIA WOLVES won 3 of 10. Keyd come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Keyd a 74% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES: rosters

KeydElo: #271VRS: #144
ckzao
drgIGL
ckzao
ckzaoProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate36%
92Matches, 12 months64
4/10Last 10 matches3/10
lost 2Current streakwon 1
30Age24
06/2026On the team since04/2026
400eDPI–
ALENNNCARrxProfile
METANOIA WOLVESElo: #433VRS: #235

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

KeydTeamMETANOIA WOLVES
51% (143-135)Map win rate41% (65-94)
24-18Deciding maps won–lost8-15
61%Series wins without dropping a map64%
45 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Keyd vs METANOIA WOLVES: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Keyd ()

All 4 meetings

Keyd and METANOIA WOLVES: form going into the match

Keyd · 5 of 10 wonMETANOIA WOLVES · 3 of 10 wonWonLost
135314241494156414891368135314241494156414891368
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LBounty Hunters Esports0–2
WGrêmio Esports2–0
LProcyon Gaming0–2
LIsurus1–2
LFluxo W7M0–2
WYawara Esports2–1
LImperial0–2
WGalorys2–1
WYawara Esports2–1
WpaiN Academy2–1
LProcyon Gaming1–2
WIsurus2–1
WALKA GAMING1–0
LBack to Back0–2
LODDIK0–2
LHunters Rising1–2
LRush0–1
LQUINTESSÊNCIA0–2
WMEIA NOITE2–1
LpaiN Academy0–2

Bracket path