Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (AUR-HOTU) result: StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Fall 2026, 26 Jul 2026

70.8%Win probability before the match29.2%
Map 1Aurora GamingwonMap 2HOTUHOTUwonMap 3Aurora Gamingwon
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Aurora Gaming vs HOTU: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating102 Elo points separate Aurora Gaming (1866) and HOTU (1764).
  • Head-to-headAurora Gaming 3-0 HOTU in 3 meetings since 2024. Aurora Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Rio 2026 (). More
  • FormAurora Gaming won 7 of their last 10; HOTU won 8 of 10. HOTU come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Aurora Gaming a 71% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Aurora Gaming vs HOTU: rosters

Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
IGL
woxicAWP
XANTARES
woxic
woxicProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate67%
81Matches, 12 months64
7/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
27Age23
04/2025On the team since07/2025
2400eDPI800
frontalesProfile
HOTUElo: #30VRS: #31
AWP
n0rb3r7

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Aurora GamingTeamHOTU
56% (116-92)Map win rate59% (155-108)
17-15Deciding maps won–lost29-15
65%Series wins without dropping a map56%
49 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won52%
60%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Aurora Gaming vs HOTU: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Aurora Gaming ()

All 3 meetings

Aurora Gaming and HOTU: form going into the match

Aurora Gaming · 7 of 10 wonHOTU · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
169617851874196318661761169617851874196318661761
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WECHO2–0
LFOKUS1–2
WTeam Nemesis2–1
WK272–1
LFURIA0–2
WBetBoom Team2–0
W9z2–0
WG22–0
LSpirit1–2
WMonte2–0
LAstralis1–2
WInfinite2–0
WGamerLegion2–0
WAstralis2–0
WHeroic2–1
Lfnatic0–2
WQUAZAR2–0
WEntropy2–1
WBrute2–0
WVexar2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Aurora GamingWin %HOTU
59%27 mapsLWWLL
Dust II
53%17 mapsWLLWL
42%19 mapsLWWLW
Nuke
67%6 mapsWWLWL
56%16 mapsWLWWW
Mirage
71%7 mapsLWWWL
53%15 mapsLLWWW
Overpass
50%6 mapsLLWWW
67%15 mapsWWLWW
Anubis
67%3 mapsWWL
71%14 mapsWLWWL
Inferno
–
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
38%13 mapsLWLWL
0%1 mapsL
Cache
0%1 mapsL

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