magic vs NIP (MGC-NIP) result: StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Fall 2026, 26 Jul 2026

55.3%Win probability before the match44.7%
Map 1magicwonMap 2magicwon
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magic vs NIP: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating24 Elo points separate magic (1854) and NIP (1830).
  • Head-to-headmagic 1-1 NIP in 2 meetings since 2024. NIP took the previous meeting 2-1 at Stake Ranked Episode 2 2026 (). More
  • Formmagic won 7 of their last 10; NIP won 6 of 10. magic come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave magic a 55% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

magic vs NIP: rosters

magicElo: #26VRS: #23
AWP
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
52%Win rate52%
71Matches, 12 months31
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
21Age24
03/2026On the team since04/2026
800eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
NIPElo: #12VRS: #18
sjuush
Snappi
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

magicTeamNIP
64% (90-50)Map win rate53% (104-94)
13-8Deciding maps won–lost12-23
68%Series wins without dropping a map67%
48 minAverage map length48 min
55%CT-side rounds won54%
60%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

magic vs NIP: meetings before this one

magicmagic1win1winNIPNIPNIP

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to NIP ()

All 2 meetings

magic and NIP: form going into the match

magic · 7 of 10 wonNIP · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
178318161850188318581831178318161850188318581831
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGentle Mates2–0
L3DMAX1–2
WGentle Mates2–0
WWalczaki2–0
LInner Circle Esports0–2
WEsport Academy Copenhagen2–1
LNIP1–2
WNIP2–0
WFaZe2–1
W3DMAX2–0
LpaiN0–2
WHeroic2–1
WECHO2–0
W100 Thieves2–1
WM802–0
LK271–2
LHeroic1–2
WGentle Mates2–0
WK272–0
LVirtus.pro1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

magicWin %NIP
62%13 mapsLWWWL
Ancient
37%19 mapsWLLLW
44%16 mapsLLLWL
Mirage
40%15 mapsLWWLW
–
Nuke
71%24 mapsLLWWW
30%10 mapsLWLWL
Dust II
38%13 mapsLLLLW
67%3 mapsWWL
Anubis
50%12 mapsLLWLW
63%8 mapsLWWLW
Inferno
100%3 mapsWWW
100%3 mapsWWW
Overpass
40%5 mapsWLWLL
100%1 mapsW
Cache
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA