Ursa vs ASTRAL (URSA-ASTR) result: BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 season 2 2026, 22 May 2026

44.3%Win probability before the match55.7%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2ASTRALASTRALwonMap 3Ursawon
Watch back
No VOD found for this match yet. Pick a channel above to look for it there.

Ursa vs ASTRAL: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating26 Elo points separate Ursa (1527) and ASTRAL (1553).
  • Head-to-headUrsa 1-2 ASTRAL in 3 meetings since 2024. Ursa took the previous meeting 2-0 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 7 2026 (). More
  • FormUrsa won 2 of their last 10; ASTRAL won 4 of 10. ASTRAL come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave ASTRAL a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ursa vs ASTRAL: rosters

AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
55%Win rate55%
87Matches, 12 months53
2/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 3Current streaklost 1
21Age27
07/2025On the team since03/2026
–eDPI800
ASTRALElo: #134VRS: #91
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

UrsaTeamASTRAL
55% (178-146)Map win rate46% (82-97)
26-22Deciding maps won–lost10-15
58%Series wins without dropping a map64%
46 minAverage map length44 min
55%CT-side rounds won50%
52%First half won47%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Ursa vs ASTRAL: meetings before this one

UrsaUrsa1win2winsASTRALASTRALASTRAL

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Ursa ()

All 3 meetings

Ursa and ASTRAL: form going into the match

Ursa · 2 of 10 wonASTRAL · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
152015561592162815281563152015561592162815281563
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTNC0–2
LPsychoFace0–2
LOramond0–2
WALGO Esports2–1
LLazer Cats1–2
LGenOne1–2
LOxuji Esports1–2
LFavbet0–2
LOxuji Esports0–2
WMOUZ NXT2–1
LEternal Fire0–2
WProject 912–1
LCYBERSHOKE Prospects1–2
Wex-RUBY2–0
LCYBERSHOKE Esports1–2
LAM Gaming0–2
LBebop0–2
Lex-Zero Tenacity1–2
WHEROIC Academy2–0
WMANA eSports2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

UrsaWin %ASTRAL
78%18 mapsLWWWL
Dust II
64%11 mapsWWWWW
50%10 mapsWLLLL
Nuke
30%10 mapsLLLWL
42%12 mapsWWLLL
Mirage
40%5 mapsLWWLL
67%6 mapsWWWLL
Anubis
30%10 mapsLLLLL
40%10 mapsLWLLL
Inferno
60%5 mapsLWWLW
–
Ancient
33%6 mapsLWWLL
20%5 mapsLWLLL
Overpass
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA