MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (MOUZ.N-URSA) result: CCT Europe Series #1 2026, 4 May 2026

46.5%Win probability before the match53.5%
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MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II36 min
MOUZ NXT
13
CT8:4T5:1
Ursa
5
MAP 2Mirage24 min
MOUZ NXT
3
T2:10CT1:3
Ursa
13
MAP 3Nuke25 min
MOUZ NXT
1
T1:11CT0:2
Ursa
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating16 Elo points separate MOUZ NXT (1600) and Ursa (1616).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ NXT 1-1 Ursa in 2 meetings since 2024. MOUZ NXT took the previous meeting 2-0 at NODWIN Clutch Series Season 7 2026 (). More
  • FormMOUZ NXT won 3 of their last 10; Ursa won 8 of 10. Ursa are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: rosters

MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
AWP
IGL
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
50%Win rate60%
48Matches, 12 months77
3/10Last 10 matches8/10
lost 4Current streakwon 4
17Age21
07/2025On the team since07/2025
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZ NXTTeamUrsa
51% (175-167)Map win rate57% (178-132)
31-25Deciding maps won–lost24-20
51%Series wins without dropping a map60%
46 minAverage map length46 min
52%CT-side rounds won58%
55%First half won59%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: meetings before this one

MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT1win1winUrsaUrsa

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to MOUZ NXT ()

All 2 meetings

MOUZ NXT and Ursa: form going into the match

MOUZ NXT · 3 of 10 wonUrsa · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
158116051630165415891617158116051630165415891617
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LUNiTY esports1–2
LAcend0–2
LCYBERSHOKE Esports1–2
LEYEBALLERS0–1
WUrsa2–0
Lex-RUBY0–2
WQual41–0
WGenOne2–1
LClutchain0–1
LARCRED0–2
WHyperSpirit2–0
WHAVU2–1
WPsychoFace2–1
WSTATE2–0
LLilmix1–2
WBrute2–1
LWalczaki0–2
WBetBoom Team2–1
WGenOne2–1
WBebop2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZ NXTWin %Ursa
43%7 mapsLLWWL
Dust II
85%13 mapsWWWWW
56%9 mapsLWLWL
Anubis
80%5 mapsLWWWW
80%5 mapsWWWWL
Mirage
50%8 mapsWWWLL
67%6 mapsWWWLL
Nuke
80%5 mapsLWWWW
50%8 mapsWLWLL
Ancient
–
0%3 mapsLLL
Overpass
20%5 mapsLLLWL
–
Inferno
57%7 mapsWLWWW

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