Marsborne vs Without a Roof (MARS-WaR) result: FRAG University 2026, 10 Oct 2026

55.2%Win probability before the match44.8%
Watch back
FRAG University 2026 · Upper bracket round 1 match 1MarsborneMarsborneMarsborneWithout a RoofWithout a RoofWithout a RoofWithout a RoofWithout a RoofVS
REPLAYTwitch · fragadelphia · EN

Marsborne vs Without a Roof: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating36 Elo points separate Marsborne (1683) and Without a Roof (1647).
  • Head-to-headMarsborne 1-2 Without a Roof in 3 meetings since 2024. Without a Roof took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier 2026 (). More
  • FormMarsborne won 9 of their last 10; Without a Roof won 5 of 10. Marsborne are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Marsborne a 55% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Marsborne vs Without a Roof: rosters

MarsborneElo: #73VRS: #116
AWP
ogwizardProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate51%
70Matches, 12 months63
6/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 6Current streaklost 1
20Age26
04/2026On the team since08/2026
820eDPI880
Without a RoofElo: #107VRS: #104
autimatic
Brehze
CeRqAWP
Stewie2KIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MarsborneTeamWithout a Roof
64% (149-84)Map win rate58% (28-20)
12-18Deciding maps won–lost3-1
81%Series wins without dropping a map67%
42 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Marsborne vs Without a Roof: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Without a Roof ()

All 3 meetings

Marsborne and Without a Roof: form going into the match

Marsborne · 9 of 10 wonWithout a Roof · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
163916621685170816861647163916621685170816861647
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WLast Dance1–0
WHairy Scary Bandits1–0
LNRG0–1
WMalicious Intent1–0
WLAG Gaming2–1
Wregain2–0
WFarmVille2–0
WDetonate2–0
WIowa Stormboar2–0
WFlyQuest RED2–0
LElusive0–1
WMidwest Maniacs1–0
LImperial0–1
WCelestial1–0
LSportsBetExpert2–3
WLAG Gaming2–1
LSportsBetExpert0–2
LVoca0–2
WMarsborne2–0
WLAG Gaming2–1

Bracket path