ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE (ex-ZT-STA) result: Exort Fiesta Season 2 2026, 23 Sep 2026

69.7%Win probability before the match30.3%
Map 1EZwonMap 2STATESTATEwonMap 3STATESTATEwon
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ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating96 Elo points separate ex-Zero Tenacity (1662) and STATE (1566).
  • Head-to-headex-Zero Tenacity 2-1 STATE in 3 meetings since 2024. ex-Zero Tenacity took the previous meeting 2-0 at Exort Fiesta Season 1 2026 (). More
  • Formex-Zero Tenacity won 7 of their last 10; STATE won 8 of 10. STATE come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave ex-Zero Tenacity a 70% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE: rosters

ex-Zero TenacityElo: #75VRS: #93
AWP
DragonAWP
AWP
brutmonsterProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
57%Win rate50%
88Matches, 12 months54
7/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 3Current streakwon 2
25Age20
12/2025On the team since02/2026
1000eDPI600
sL1m3Profile
STATEElo: #118VRS: #123
Altekz
kwezz
Queenix
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

ex-Zero TenacityTeamSTATE
52% (161-146)Map win rate54% (139-120)
24-31Deciding maps won–lost24-19
63%Series wins without dropping a map51%
46 minAverage map length44 min
54%CT-side rounds won47%
49%First half won52%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

ex-Zero Tenacity vs STATE: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to ex-Zero Tenacity ()

All 3 meetings

ex-Zero Tenacity and STATE: form going into the match

ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 of 10 wonSTATE · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
152415811638169616581559152415811638169616581559
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WBlack Phoenix2–0
WINOX Division2–0
WWRAITH PCIFIC2–1
WTrafficPills Esports2–1
LTeletubisie0–2
LUNiTY esports1–2
LMetizport1–2
WFortress2–0
WEsport Academy Copenhagen2–0
WNoir Verse2–1
WKAMUI2–1
Wstruggletony1–0
WXI Esport1–0
WEAC Extra1–0
WTeletubisie2–1
Llargadosypelados0–2
WFlame Hard1–0
LSAW0–1
WGiant Pandas1–0
WNice Try1–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

ex-Zero TenacityWin %STATE
69%13 mapsWLLWW
Nuke
29%7 mapsLLWLL
50%12 mapsWWWLL
Dust II
–
67%6 mapsWWLWL
Mirage
40%5 mapsLLWWL
67%3 mapsWWL
Inferno
50%6 mapsWWLLW
63%8 mapsLWLWL
Cache
–
25%4 mapsLWLL
Overpass
67%3 mapsWLW
–
Ancient
40%5 mapsLWWLL
100%2 mapsWW
Anubis
0%2 mapsLL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Bracket path

Semifinal 2EZex-Zero Tenacity1STATESTATESTATE2This match