STATE vs ILLYRIANS (STA-ILLYR) result: Exort Fiesta Season 2 2026, 23 Sep 2026

55.8%Win probability before the match44.2%
Map 1ILLYRIANSILLYRIANSwonMap 2STATESTATEwonMap 3ILLYRIANSILLYRIANSwon
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STATE vs ILLYRIANS: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating27 Elo points separate STATE (1569) and ILLYRIANS (1542).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • FormSTATE won 8 of their last 10; ILLYRIANS won 6 of 10. STATE come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave STATE a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

STATE vs ILLYRIANS: rosters

STATEElo: #117VRS: #123
Altekz
kwezz
Queenix
AWP
sL1m3Profile
Player comparison12 months before this match
51%Win rate48%
55Matches, 12 months92
5/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 3Current streakwon 5
20Age24
02/2026On the team since08/2026
600eDPI–
BledarDProfile
ILLYRIANSElo: #145VRS: #141
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

STATETeamILLYRIANS
54% (141-121)Map win rate53% (16-14)
25-19Deciding maps won–lost4-4
50%Series wins without dropping a map33%
44 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

STATE and ILLYRIANS: form going into the match

STATE · 8 of 10 wonILLYRIANS · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
138814591531160215751542138814591531160215751542
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–1
WKAMUI2–1
Wstruggletony1–0
WXI Esport1–0
WEAC Extra1–0
WTeletubisie2–1
Llargadosypelados0–2
WFlame Hard1–0
LSAW0–1
WGiant Pandas1–0
WWW Team2–1
WUNiTY esports2–1
WUPGRADE2–0
WENCE2–0
WSaint Sinners2–1
LVexar1–2
WPermitta Esports2–1
LWRAITH PCIFIC0–2
LFire Flux Esports1–2
LSINQU1–2

Bracket path

Grand finalSTATESTATESTATE1ILLYRIANSILLYRIANSILLYRIANS2This match
ILLYRIANS won the title
STATE knocked out