Astralis vs fnatic (AST-FNC) result: BLAST Bounty Winter 2026, 13 Jan 2026

56%Win probability before the match44%
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Astralis vs fnatic: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage62 min▶
Astralis
12
CT2:10T10:2OT1 T0:3OT1 CT0:1
fnatic
16
MAP 2Overpass54 min▶
Astralis
13
T6:6CT7:5
fnatic
11
MAP 3Ancient38 min▶
Astralis
13
T9:3CT4:1
fnatic
4

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs fnatic: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating28 Elo points separate Astralis (1772) and fnatic (1744).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 23-10 fnatic in 33 meetings since 2024. fnatic took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Pro League Season 20 2024 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 4 of their last 10; fnatic won 5 of 10. fnatic come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs fnatic: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate55%
33Matches, 12 months11
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
23Age21
01/2026On the team since03/2025
1584eDPI800
JamboProfile
fnaticElo: #28VRS: #35
fearIGL
AWP
KRIMZ
MadenIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamfnatic
50% (103-104)Map win rate57% (170-129)
21-13Deciding maps won–lost32-24
51%Series wins without dropping a map53%
49 minAverage map length47 min
53%CT-side rounds won55%
41%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs fnatic: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis23wins10winsfnaticfnatic

33 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to fnatic ()

All 33 meetings

Astralis and fnatic: form going into the match

Astralis · 4 of 10 wonfnatic · 5 of 10 won
LLiquid0–2
WAurora Gaming2–1
WFlyQuest2–0
LM800–1
LNIP0–1
LVitality1–2
LTeam Falcons0–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
WNatus Vincere2–1
LAurora Gaming1–2
LFriendlyCampers1–2
Willwill2–1
WLazer Cats2–0
WMOUZ NXT2–1
LCYBERSHOKE Esports0–2
WG2 Ares2–1
LPassion UA0–2
LImperial0–1
LB80–1
W3DMAX1–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %fnatic
57%28 mapsLWLLL
Nuke
–
44%18 mapsLLWWL
Mirage
30%10 mapsLWLLL
53%17 mapsLWWWL
Inferno
56%9 mapsLWWWL
50%10 mapsWLLWL
Ancient
43%7 mapsLWLWW
40%10 mapsLLWLW
Overpass
60%5 mapsLLWWW
33%6 mapsWLLLW
Train
50%8 mapsWLLWW
17%6 mapsLLLLL
Dust II
50%6 mapsLWLLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA