Arcade Esports vs Abyssal result: Dfrag Open Series #4 2026, 11 Apr 2026

56.3%Win probability before the match43.7%
Map 1AbyssalAbyssalwonMap 2Arcade EsportswonMap 3AbyssalAbyssalwon
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Arcade Esports vs Abyssal: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating29 Elo points separate Arcade Esports (1460) and Abyssal (1431).
  • Head-to-headArcade Esports 1-1 Abyssal in 2 meetings since 2024. Abyssal took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 2026 (). More
  • FormArcade Esports won 4 of their last 10; Abyssal won 4 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Arcade Esports a 56% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Arcade Esports vs Abyssal: rosters

AbyssalElo: #185VRS: #195
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Arcade EsportsTeamAbyssal
49% (17-18)Map win rate43% (17-23)
2-3Deciding maps won–lost4-3
71%Series wins without dropping a map43%
46 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Arcade Esports vs Abyssal: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Abyssal ()

All 2 meetings

Arcade Esports and Abyssal: form going into the match

Arcade Esports · 4 of 10 wonAbyssal · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
138314171452148614601431138314171452148614601431
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WMGLBROS2–0
LRooster1–2
WMindfreak2–1
WTime Waves2–0
LAbyssal1–2
LRooster0–2
LRooster0–2
LSemperFi Esports0–2
WGround Zero2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–1
WDXA Esports2–1
LRooster0–2
LGround Zero1–2
WMindfreak2–1
WArcade Esports2–1
LGround Zero1–2
W11mins2–0
LGround Zero0–2
LArcade Esports0–2
LMindfreak0–1