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ARCRED vs Alliance (ARC-ALL) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 season 50 2025, 14 Oct 2025

ARCREDARCREDARCRED#75 · Elo 15870AllianceAlliance#55 · Elo 16282
ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 season 50 2025 · PlayoffsMatch overBO3
41.1%Win probability before the match58.9%
Map 1AlliancewonMap 2Alliancewon
Watch back
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ARCRED vs Alliance: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating41 Elo points separate ARCRED (1587) and Alliance (1628).
  • Head-to-headARCRED 0-2 Alliance in 2 meetings since 2024. Alliance took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT Europe Series #6 season 3 2025 (). More
  • FormARCRED won 5 of their last 10; Alliance won 4 of 10. ARCRED come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 59% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

ARCRED vs Alliance: rosters

ARCREDElo: #75VRS: #166
IGL
AWP
RaijinProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
24Age24
05/2025On the team since12/2024
–eDPI600
eraa
eraaProfile
AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

ARCREDTeamAlliance
47% (113-127)Map win rate54% (174-147)
16-23Deciding maps won–lost30-30
63%Series wins without dropping a map56%
45 minAverage map length48 min
47%CT-side rounds won51%
45%First half won42%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

ARCRED vs Alliance: meetings before this one

ARCREDARCREDARCRED0wins2winsAllianceAlliance

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Alliance ()

BO3CCT Europe Series #6 season 3 2025 · Group StageARCREDARCREDARCRED28%00 : 2AllianceAlliance72%2BO3CCT Europe Series #5 season 3 2025 · Group StageARCREDARCREDARCRED24%00 : 2AllianceAlliance76%2
All 2 meetings

ARCRED and Alliance: form going into the match

ARCRED · 5 of 10 wonAlliance · 4 of 10 won
ARCREDARCREDARCREDSee all
WBetera Esports2–0
WRUBY2–1
WNexus2–0
LBetclic Apogee Esports0–2
WHubaBuba2–0
LBetera Esports0–2
LJohnny Speeds1–2
LEYEBALLERS1–2
WGUN5 Esports2–1
LJohnny Speeds0–2
AllianceAllianceSee all
LJohnny Speeds1–2
LESC Gaming1–2
WSPARTA2–0
LBetclic Apogee Esports1–2
LRUBY0–2
LOG0–1
LEYEBALLERS1–2
WEternal Fire2–0
WEternal Fire2–0
WSPARTA2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

ARCREDWin %Alliance
50%10 mapsLWLWL
Train
80%5 mapsWWWWL
44%9 mapsLLWWW
Inferno
100%4 mapsWWWW
43%7 mapsWLWLL
Dust II
50%6 mapsLLLWW
38%8 mapsWLLWL
Ancient
50%4 mapsLWLW
56%9 mapsWWWLL
Mirage
–
67%3 mapsWWL
Nuke
50%6 mapsLLWLW
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
0%3 mapsLLL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA