Alliance vs ESC Gaming (ALL-ESC) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 season 50 2025, 19 Oct 2025

24.8%Win probability before the match75.2%
Map 1ESC GamingwonMap 2AlliancewonMap 3ESC Gamingwon
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Alliance vs ESC Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating127 Elo points separate Alliance (1671) and ESC Gaming (1798).
  • Head-to-headAlliance 0-2 ESC Gaming in 2 meetings since 2024. ESC Gaming took the previous meeting 2-1 at CCT Europe Series #8 season 3 2025 (). More
  • FormAlliance won 5 of their last 10; ESC Gaming won 8 of 10. ESC Gaming are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave ESC Gaming a 75% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Alliance vs ESC Gaming: rosters

AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
24Age25
12/2024On the team since01/2025
600eDPI–
SaMeyProfile
bajmi
IGL
reiko
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AllianceTeamESC Gaming
55% (178-147)Map win rate64% (188-106)
30-30Deciding maps won–lost24-18
57%Series wins without dropping a map70%
49 minAverage map length44 min
51%CT-side rounds won62%
42%First half won68%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Alliance vs ESC Gaming: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to ESC Gaming ()

All 2 meetings

Alliance and ESC Gaming: form going into the match

Alliance · 5 of 10 wonESC Gaming · 8 of 10 won
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WZero Tenacity2–0
WGUN5 Esports2–0
WARCRED2–0
LJohnny Speeds1–2
LESC Gaming1–2
WSPARTA2–0
LBetclic Apogee Esports1–2
LRUBY0–2
LOG0–1
LSangal1–2
WZero Tenacity2–1
LRUBY1–2
WEYEBALLERS2–0
WTPuDCATb TPu2–0
WAlliance2–1
WDynamo Eclot2–0
WRUBY2–0
WRUBY2–0
WNexus2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AllianceWin %ESC Gaming
50%6 mapsWLWLL
Nuke
100%13 mapsWWWWW
50%6 mapsWWLLL
Dust II
80%5 mapsLWWWW
50%4 mapsWLWL
Ancient
83%6 mapsWWWWL
100%4 mapsWWWW
Inferno
33%3 mapsLLW
0%3 mapsLLL
Overpass
33%3 mapsWLL
–
Mirage
67%6 mapsLWWWW
80%5 mapsLWWWW
Train
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA