Nuclear TigeRES vs Ursa (NTR-URSA) result: PGL Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #2 2026, 17 Feb 2026

74.8%Win probability before the match25.2%
Map 1Ursawon
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Nuclear TigeRES vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating189 Elo points separate Nuclear TigeRES (1743) and Ursa (1554).
  • Head-to-headNuclear TigeRES 1-1 Ursa in 2 meetings since 2024. Nuclear TigeRES took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESEA Advanced Europe season 54 2025 (). More
  • FormNuclear TigeRES won 7 of their last 10; Ursa won 4 of 10. Nuclear TigeRES are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Nuclear TigeRES a 75% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Nuclear TigeRES vs Ursa: rosters

Nuclear TigeRESElo: #48VRS: #46
IGL
AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
70%Win rate50%
10Matches, 12 months18
7/10Last 10 matches3/10
won 3Current streaklost 2
23Age21
07/2025On the team since07/2025
1236eDPI–
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Nuclear TigeRESTeamUrsa
61% (213-139)Map win rate54% (97-82)
31-24Deciding maps won–lost13-12
61%Series wins without dropping a map48%
43 minAverage map length47 min
55%CT-side rounds won43%
68%First half won50%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Nuclear TigeRES vs Ursa: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Nuclear TigeRES ()

All 2 meetings

Nuclear TigeRES and Ursa: form going into the match

Nuclear TigeRES · 7 of 10 wonUrsa · 4 of 10 won
WeLITenergy2–1
W1WIN2–0
WOxuji Esports2–0
L1WIN0–2
WTeam Nemesis2–0
WDRGN TEAM2–1
WWHITEBIRD2–0
WB522–0
LJohnny Speeds0–2
LSinners1–2
LMousquetaires0–2
LQWENTRY0–2
LPRIME1–2
LHyperSpirit0–2
WCSDIILIT2–0
WPigeons2–0
WMANA eSports1–0
Laimclub0–1
WVP.Prodigy1–0
LLFO0–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Nuclear TigeRESWin %Ursa
71%14 mapsLWWLW
Ancient
–
50%10 mapsWWWLL
Mirage
0%2 mapsLL
71%7 mapsWWWLL
Inferno
0%2 mapsLL
50%6 mapsWWLLL
Dust II
50%2 mapsWL
50%4 mapsLWWL
Nuke
–
75%4 mapsLWWW
Anubis
–
67%3 mapsWWL
Train
–
–
Overpass
0%1 mapsL

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