MOUZ NXT vs Ursa (MOUZ.N-URSA) result: NODWIN Clutch Series Season 7 2026, 19 Apr 2026

46.1%Win probability before the match53.9%
Map 1MOUZ NXTwonMap 2MOUZ NXTwon
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MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating18 Elo points separate MOUZ NXT (1603) and Ursa (1621).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ NXT 0-1 Ursa in 1 meeting since 2024. Ursa took the previous meeting 1-0 at ESEA Advanced Europe season 55 2025 (). More
  • FormMOUZ NXT won 4 of their last 10; Ursa won 5 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: rosters

MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
AWP
IGL
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
53%Win rate58%
43Matches, 12 months66
4/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streaklost 1
17Age21
07/2025On the team since07/2025
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZ NXTTeamUrsa
52% (171-160)Map win rate56% (170-132)
31-23Deciding maps won–lost22-20
50%Series wins without dropping a map61%
46 minAverage map length46 min
52%CT-side rounds won58%
55%First half won59%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ NXT vs Ursa: meetings before this one

MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT0wins1winUrsaUrsa

1 meeting · Most recent: 1–0 to Ursa ()

The only meeting

MOUZ NXT and Ursa: form going into the match

MOUZ NXT · 4 of 10 wonUrsa · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
157515991624164816021618157515991624164816021618
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Lex-RUBY0–2
WQual41–0
WGenOne2–1
LClutchain0–1
LARCRED0–2
Wzajezdzacze2–0
Laimclub0–2
LLazer Cats0–1
WAlpha Dominion Nation1–0
LBIG0–2
LESC Gaming0–2
WAcend2–0
WLeo Team2–0
WASTRAL2–0
LPhantom1–2
LBIG0–2
LASTRAL0–2
WJohnny Speeds2–1
WMINLATE2–1
LTNT1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZ NXTWin %Ursa
43%7 mapsLLWWL
Dust II
85%13 mapsWWWWW
56%9 mapsLWLWL
Anubis
80%5 mapsLWWWW
80%5 mapsWWWWL
Mirage
50%8 mapsWWWLL
67%6 mapsWWWLL
Nuke
80%5 mapsLWWWW
50%8 mapsWLWLL
Ancient
–
0%3 mapsLLL
Overpass
20%5 mapsLLLWL
–
Inferno
57%7 mapsWLWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA