TNT vs Ursa result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 2026, 2 Apr 2026

34.5%Win probability before the match65.5%
Map 1TNwonMap 2UrsawonMap 3TNwon
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TNT vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating74 Elo points separate TNT (1536) and Ursa (1610).
  • Head-to-headTNT 1-0 Ursa in 1 meeting since 2024. TNT took the previous meeting 1-0 at ESEA Advanced Europe season 56 2026 (). More
  • FormTNT won 7 of their last 10; Ursa won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 66% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

TNT vs Ursa: rosters

Fen2kProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
60%Win rate59%
15Matches, 12 months56
7/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 2Current streaklost 1
20Age21
12/2025On the team since07/2025
AWP
Jyo

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

TNTTeamUrsa
59% (30-21)Map win rate57% (160-120)
5-4Deciding maps won–lost20-18
50%Series wins without dropping a map62%
46 minAverage map length46 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

TNT vs Ursa: meetings before this one

TNTTN1win0winsUrsaUrsa

1 meeting · Most recent: 1–0 to TNT ()

The only meeting

TNT and Ursa: form going into the match

TNT · 7 of 10 wonUrsa · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
145415151576163715321610145415151576163715321610
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WRune Eaters2–0
WReThink2–0
LMANA eSports1–2
LQWENTRY1–2
WMisa Esports2–1
WPhantom Academy2–1
WAurora Young Blood2–1
LMisa Esports0–2
WThe Last Resort2–0
Weternal premium2–0
LECSTATIC1–2
Wmegoshort2–0
LJust Players1–2
WGenOne2–0
Wmegoshort2–0
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–1
WOmega2–0
WSTATE2–0
LNemiga0–2
WLeo Team2–0