Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (AUR-AST) result: ESL Pro League Season 23 2026, 14 Mar 2026

58.6%Win probability before the match41.4%
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Aurora Gaming vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke52 min▶
Aurora Gaming
11
CT5:7T6:6
Astralis
13
MAP 2Dust II33 min▶
Aurora Gaming
13
T10:2CT3:0
Astralis
2
MAP 3Inferno61 min▶
Aurora Gaming
13
T7:5CT6:5
Astralis
10

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Aurora Gaming vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating40 Elo points separate Aurora Gaming (1900) and Astralis (1860).
  • Head-to-headAurora Gaming 4-3 Astralis in 7 meetings since 2024. Aurora Gaming took the previous meeting 2-0 at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 (). More
  • FormAurora Gaming won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Aurora Gaming a 59% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Aurora Gaming vs Astralis: rosters

Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
MAJ3RIGL
Soulfly
woxicAWP
XANTARES
woxic
woxicProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
59%Win rate57%
51Matches, 12 months58
7/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 4Current streaklost 1
27Age23
04/2025On the team since01/2026
2400eDPI1584
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Aurora GamingTeamAstralis
56% (137-108)Map win rate49% (101-105)
24-21Deciding maps won–lost20-13
55%Series wins without dropping a map52%
49 minAverage map length47 min
54%CT-side rounds won54%
57%First half won49%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Aurora Gaming vs Astralis: meetings before this one

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Aurora Gaming ()

All 7 meetings

Aurora Gaming and Astralis: form going into the match

Aurora Gaming · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
181218431874190418961858181218431874190418961858
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WLegacy2–1
WG22–0
WpaiN2–0
LThe MongolZ0–2
WLegacy2–1
LVitality0–2
WAstralis2–0
WB82–0
LNatus Vincere1–2
WpaiN2–1
WSpirit2–0
WFURIA2–1
WFaZe2–1
LLegacy0–2
LMOUZ1–2
WFUT Esports2–0
W3DMAX2–0
LFUT Esports0–2
WHeroic2–0
WMonte2–1

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Aurora GamingWin %Astralis
42%24 mapsLWWLW
Mirage
32%22 mapsLWLWL
50%18 mapsWLLWL
Overpass
62%21 mapsLWLWL
60%15 mapsWLWLW
Nuke
58%24 mapsWWWLL
67%21 mapsWWWLW
Dust II
31%13 mapsWLLLW
43%14 mapsWLLWW
Inferno
50%14 mapsWWWLL
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
69%16 mapsWWLWW
56%9 mapsWLWLL
Train
25%4 mapsWLLL
83%6 mapsWWWLW
Anubis
–

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