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Heroic vs Astralis (HERO-AST) result: ESL Pro League Season 23 2026, 2 Mar 2026

HeroicHeroic#13 · Elo 18410AstralisAstralis#19 · Elo 18232
ESL Pro League Season 23 2026 · Stage 1Match overBO3LAN
54%Win probability before the match46%
Map 1Dust IIAstralis13-16Map 2OverpassAstralis10-13
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Heroic vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II90 min▶
Heroic
13
T4:8CT8:4OT1 CT1:2OT1 T0:2
Astralis
16
MAP 2Overpass56 min▶
Heroic
10
CT6:6T4:7
Astralis
13

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Heroic vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating18 Elo points separate Heroic (1841) and Astralis (1823).
  • Head-to-headHeroic 4-2 Astralis in 6 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 (). More
  • FormHeroic won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 5 of 10. Heroic come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Heroic a 54% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Heroic vs Astralis: rosters

HeroicElo: #13VRS: #15
IGL
susp
xfl0ud
Chr1zNProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
58%Win rate56%
40Matches, 12 months48
7/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 6Current streakwon 1
19Age23
01/2026On the team since01/2026
664eDPI1584
phzy
phzyProfile
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
HooXiIGL
jabbi
phzyAWP
Staehr

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

HeroicTeamAstralis
57% (108-82)Map win rate48% (88-97)
15-19Deciding maps won–lost18-12
61%Series wins without dropping a map50%
48 minAverage map length47 min
53%CT-side rounds won53%
46%First half won45%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Heroic vs Astralis: meetings before this one

HeroicHeroic4wins2winsAstralisAstralis

6 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Astralis ()

BO3ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 · Stage 1HeroicHeroic36%11 : 2AstralisAstralis64%2BO3IEM Dallas: Europe Closed Qualifier 2025 · PlayoffsHeroicHeroic39%22 : 0AstralisAstralis61%0BO3IEM Rio 2024 · Group BHeroicHeroic54%22 : 0AstralisAstralis46%0BO1YaLLa Compass 2024 · Group AHeroicHeroic47%00 : 1AstralisAstralis53%1BO1PGL Major Copenhagen: European RMR B 2024 · Group StageHeroicHeroic56%11 : 0AstralisAstralis44%0
All 6 meetings

Heroic and Astralis: form going into the match

Heroic · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
175417851816184718391821175417851816184718391821
Elo after each match · oldernewer
HeroicHeroicSee all
WNRG2–0
W100 Thieves2–1
WFlyQuest2–0
WCYBERSHOKE Esports2–0
WASTRAL2–0
WInfinite2–0
LG20–2
W3DMAX2–0
LB80–2
LFaZe0–2
AstralisAstralisSee all
WMonte2–1
LAurora Gaming0–2
WFaZe2–0
LFUT Esports0–2
W3DMAX2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
LFURIA1–2
WFUT Esports2–1
WPARIVISION2–1
LSpirit0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

HeroicWin %Astralis
47%15 mapsWLLWW
Nuke
58%24 mapsWWLLW
50%16 mapsWWWLL
Mirage
30%20 mapsWLLLL
31%13 mapsWLLLL
Ancient
67%12 mapsWWWLW
56%16 mapsLWWLW
Dust II
13%8 mapsLLLLW
67%6 mapsWWWLL
Overpass
61%18 mapsLLWWW
60%10 mapsLWLWW
Inferno
38%13 mapsWLLWW
–
Train
40%5 mapsWLLLW

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