The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming (MGLZ-AUR) result: ESL Pro League Season 23 2026, 7 Mar 2026

54.5%Win probability before the match45.5%
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The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II48 min▶
The MongolZ
13
CT6:6T7:3
Aurora Gaming
9
MAP 2Mirage51 min▶
The MongolZ
13
T5:7CT8:4
Aurora Gaming
11

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The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating21 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1902) and Aurora Gaming (1881).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 6-2 Aurora Gaming in 8 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-1 at Thunderpick World Championship 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 5 of their last 10; Aurora Gaming won 5 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 55% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
60%Win rate57%
60Matches, 12 months46
5/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
23Age27
08/2023On the team since04/2025
–eDPI2400
woxic
woxicProfile
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
MAJ3RIGL
Soulfly
woxicAWP
XANTARES

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamAurora Gaming
56% (117-93)Map win rate55% (137-114)
21-13Deciding maps won–lost24-23
57%Series wins without dropping a map54%
48 minAverage map length49 min
52%CT-side rounds won54%
49%First half won55%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Aurora Gaming: meetings before this one

8 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to The MongolZ ()

All 8 meetings

The MongolZ and Aurora Gaming: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 5 of 10 wonAurora Gaming · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
184318671891191419061883184318671891191419061883
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WpaiN2–0
LMOUZ0–2
LVitality0–2
WFURIA2–1
WNatus Vincere2–1
WB82–1
LVitality1–2
WpaiN2–1
LFURIA1–2
LG20–2
WLegacy2–1
LVitality0–2
WAstralis2–0
WB82–0
LNatus Vincere1–2
WpaiN2–1
LFUT Esports1–2
LFURIA0–2
LVitality0–2
WMOUZ2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Aurora Gaming
54%24 mapsWWLLW
Mirage
43%23 mapsWWLLL
35%17 mapsLWLLL
Dust II
70%20 mapsWWWLW
47%17 mapsLWWWW
Nuke
53%15 mapsLWLWW
43%14 mapsLWLLL
Inferno
43%14 mapsWLLWW
50%6 mapsWLLLW
Overpass
53%17 mapsLLWWL
63%19 mapsLLWLW
Ancient
0%1 mapsL
–
Train
56%9 mapsLLWLW
–
Anubis
80%5 mapsLWWWW

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