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STATE vs Ursa (STA-URSA) result: CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 2026, 1 May 2026

STATESTATESTATE#117 · Elo 15330UrsaUrsaElo 16022
CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 2026 · Group AMatch overBO3
35.3%Win probability before the match64.7%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2Ursawon
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STATE vs Ursa: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating69 Elo points separate STATE (1533) and Ursa (1602).
  • Head-to-headSTATE 0-1 Ursa in 1 meeting since 2024. Ursa took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT Europe Series #19 season 3 2026 (). More
  • FormSTATE won 4 of their last 10; Ursa won 6 of 10. Ursa come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Ursa a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

STATE vs Ursa: rosters

STATEElo: #117VRS: #123
kwezz
PattiIGL
AWP
thamlike
sL1m3Profile
Player comparison12 months before this match
42%Win rate58%
45Matches, 12 months73
5/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
20Age21
02/2026On the team since07/2025
600eDPI–
AlvProfile
Ursa
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

STATETeamUrsa
48% (73-78)Map win rate56% (172-133)
15-14Deciding maps won–lost23-20
40%Series wins without dropping a map60%
46 minAverage map length46 min
49%CT-side rounds won58%
51%First half won59%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

STATE vs Ursa: meetings before this one

STATESTATESTATE0wins1winUrsaUrsa

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to Ursa ()

BO3CCT Europe Series #19 season 3 2026 · Group StageSTATESTATESTATE19%00 : 2UrsaUrsa81%2
The only meeting

STATE and Ursa: form going into the match

STATE · 4 of 10 wonUrsa · 6 of 10 won
STATESTATESTATESee all
WBrute2–0
LLilmix1–2
WMASONIC2–1
WSashi Academy2–1
LWashed1–2
Lex-RUBY1–2
LESC Gaming1–2
WENCE Academy2–1
Lex-RUBY1–2
LRUSTEC0–2
UrsaUrsaSee all
LLilmix1–2
WBrute2–1
LWalczaki0–2
WBetBoom Team2–1
WGenOne2–1
WBebop2–0
LMOUZ NXT0–2
LESC Gaming0–2
WAcend2–0
WLeo Team2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

STATEWin %Ursa
33%9 mapsLWLLW
Inferno
57%7 mapsWLWWW
29%7 mapsLWWLL
Mirage
50%8 mapsWWWLL
56%9 mapsWLLWL
Nuke
80%5 mapsLWWWW
–
Dust II
85%13 mapsWWWWW
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Overpass
20%5 mapsLLLWL
33%9 mapsLLWWL
Ancient
–
0%2 mapsLL
Anubis
80%5 mapsLWWWW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA