Natus Vincere vs HOTU (NAVI-HOTU) result: IEM Rio 2026, 15 Apr 2026

Natus VincereNatus Vincere#8 · Elo 19492HOTUHOTUHOTU#30 · Elo 17210
IEM Rio 2026 · Group BMatch overBO3LAN
88.4%Win probability before the match11.6%
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Natus Vincere vs HOTU: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II45 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
CT8:4T5:3
HOTU
7
MAP 2Ancient46 min▶
Natus Vincere
13
T9:3CT4:6
HOTU
9

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Natus Vincere vs HOTU: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating228 Elo points separate Natus Vincere (1949) and HOTU (1721).
  • Head-to-headNatus Vincere 1-0 HOTU in 1 meeting since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 (). More
  • FormNatus Vincere won 8 of their last 10; HOTU won 4 of 10. Natus Vincere are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 88% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Natus Vincere vs HOTU: rosters

Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP
w0nderfulProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
59%Win rate65%
69Matches, 12 months40
8/10Last 10 matches5/10
lost 1Current streakwon 1
21Age23
11/2023On the team since07/2025
1068eDPI800
frontalesProfile
HOTUElo: #30VRS: #31
dukefissuraIGL
AWP
n0rb3r7

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Natus VincereTeamHOTU
56% (107-84)Map win rate58% (133-96)
20-19Deciding maps won–lost23-15
48%Series wins without dropping a map58%
49 minAverage map length46 min
55%CT-side rounds won50%
52%First half won51%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Natus Vincere vs HOTU: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

The only meeting

Natus Vincere and HOTU: form going into the match

Natus Vincere · 8 of 10 wonHOTU · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
168417771871196419471719168417771871196419471719
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LFURIA1–2
WB82–1
LVitality0–3
WPARIVISION2–1
WAurora Gaming2–0
WTeam Falcons2–1
WB82–1
WAurora Gaming3–1
WFUT Esports2–1
WThe MongolZ2–0
WLegacy2–0
LAurora Gaming0–2
LBET-M 330–2
WARCRED2–1
WWW Team2–1
L100 Thieves1–2
LACROBATS0–2
LBetBoom Team0–2
LBIG1–2
WTricked2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Natus VincereWin %HOTU
60%25 mapsWWLWW
Mirage
63%8 mapsLWWWL
58%19 mapsWWLWL
Dust II
58%12 mapsWLLWW
71%14 mapsWWLLW
Ancient
38%8 mapsWLLWL
39%18 mapsLWLLL
Inferno
–
42%12 mapsWLWWL
Nuke
75%4 mapsWLWW
40%5 mapsLWLWL
Anubis
67%3 mapsWWL
67%6 mapsWWLWW
Train
–
–
Overpass
50%6 mapsLWWWL

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