The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere (MGLZ-NAVI) result: BLAST Open Lisbon Spring 2025, 22 Mar 2025

50.5%Win probability before the match49.5%
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The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II47 min▶
The MongolZ
7
CT2:10T5:3
Natus Vincere
13
MAP 2Inferno33 min
The MongolZ
13
CT11:1T2:0
Natus Vincere
1
MAP 3Mirage62 min
The MongolZ
13
T6:6CT6:6OT1 CT1:2OT1 T0:2
Natus Vincere
16

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating2 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1868) and Natus Vincere (1866).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 1-2 Natus Vincere in 3 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Pro League Season 21 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 7 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 7 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (51% for the side it leaned to); Natus Vincere took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
22Age20
08/2023On the team since11/2023
–eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
jL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamNatus Vincere
67% (136-67)Map win rate64% (108-60)
16-9Deciding maps won–lost15-8
62%Series wins without dropping a map64%
47 minAverage map length48 min
49%CT-side rounds won53%
61%First half won57%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to The MongolZ ()

All 3 meetings

The MongolZ and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 7 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 7 of 10 won
WM802–1
LVitality1–2
WNatus Vincere2–0
W3DMAX2–0
LSpirit0–2
WG22–1
WGamerLegion2–0
LAstralis0–2
WpaiN2–1
WWildcard2–0
WFURIA2–0
LThe MongolZ0–2
WG22–0
WpaiN2–0
WTYLOO2–1
LSAW1–2
LSpirit0–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
WSpirit2–1
WFURIA2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Natus Vincere
70%10 mapsWLWWW
Mirage
82%11 mapsWLWWW
63%8 mapsWLWWL
Ancient
63%8 mapsLWWLW
67%6 mapsLWLWW
Dust II
40%5 mapsLLWLW
67%6 mapsWLWLW
Inferno
67%3 mapsLWW
50%4 mapsLWLW
Nuke
33%3 mapsLWL
33%3 mapsWLL
Anubis
100%1 mapsW
–
Train
100%1 mapsW

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