MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team (MOUZ.N-Leo) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 season 51 2026, 20 Feb 2026

62.2%Win probability before the match37.8%
Map 1MOUZ NXTwonMap 2MOUZ NXTwon
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MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating58 Elo points separate MOUZ NXT (1643) and Leo Team (1585).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ NXT 2-1 Leo Team in 3 meetings since 2024. Leo Team took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESEA Europe: Elite Cup #1 season 55 2025 (). More
  • FormMOUZ NXT won 9 of their last 10; Leo Team won 4 of 10. MOUZ NXT are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave MOUZ NXT a 62% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: rosters

MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
88%Win rate49%
8Matches, 12 months71
7/8Last 10 matches4/10
won 1Current streakwon 2
17Age24
07/2025On the team since09/2024
MalkissProfile
Leo TeamElo: #136VRS: #112
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZ NXTTeamLeo Team
53% (139-123)Map win rate56% (190-147)
24-19Deciding maps won–lost22-27
52%Series wins without dropping a map68%
46 minAverage map length47 min
50%CT-side rounds won52%
63%First half won53%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ NXT vs Leo Team: meetings before this one

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Leo Team ()

All 3 meetings

MOUZ NXT and Leo Team: form going into the match

MOUZ NXT · 9 of 10 wonLeo Team · 4 of 10 won
Wlos kogutos2–0
LECSTATIC0–2
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WTDK2–1
WFavbet2–1
WOxuji Esports2–1
Wmagic2–1
WPrestige1–0
WOmega2–1
WBrute2–0
WNuclear TigeRES2–0
WKOLESIE2–1
LkONO.ECF1–2
WBushido Wildcats2–0
LWHITEBIRD0–2
WALGO Esports2–0
LLazer Cats1–2
L1WIN0–2
Lex-RUBY0–2
LOramond0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZ NXTWin %Leo Team
67%3 mapsWLW
Ancient
63%8 mapsLWLWW
100%1 mapsW
Dust II
75%8 mapsWWLWW
75%4 mapsWWWL
Anubis
25%4 mapsLLLW
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
25%4 mapsLLWL
100%1 mapsW
Nuke
40%5 mapsLLWLW
–
Inferno
0%3 mapsLLL
–
Train
67%3 mapsWWL
100%1 mapsW
Mirage
–

Liquipedia CC BY-SA