MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds (MOUZ.N-JS) result: ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 season 51 2026, 18 Feb 2026

47.2%Win probability before the match52.8%
Map 1MOUZ NXTwonMap 2MOUZ NXTwon
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MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating13 Elo points separate MOUZ NXT (1626) and Johnny Speeds (1639).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ NXT 0-1 Johnny Speeds in 1 meeting since 2024. Johnny Speeds took the previous meeting 2-0 at Shuffle Masters Season 2 2024 (). More
  • FormMOUZ NXT won 8 of their last 10; Johnny Speeds won 5 of 10. MOUZ NXT are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Johnny Speeds a 53% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds: rosters

MOUZ NXTElo: #247VRS: #137
AWP
IGL
IGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
100%Win rate56%
5Matches, 12 months84
5/5Last 10 matches6/10
won 5Current streaklost 1
17Age30
07/2025On the team since07/2024
draken
drakenProfile
Johnny SpeedsElo: #152VRS: #99
draken
Lekr0IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZ NXTTeamJohnny Speeds
53% (139-122)Map win rate53% (197-174)
24-19Deciding maps won–lost35-31
50%Series wins without dropping a map52%
45 minAverage map length48 min
53%CT-side rounds won48%
60%First half won42%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ NXT vs Johnny Speeds: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to Johnny Speeds ()

The only meeting

MOUZ NXT and Johnny Speeds: form going into the match

MOUZ NXT · 8 of 10 wonJohnny Speeds · 5 of 10 won
WTDK2–1
WFavbet2–1
WOxuji Esports2–1
Wmagic2–1
WPrestige1–0
WOmega2–1
WBrute2–0
Lmix520–1
WENCE Academy2–0
LNuclear TigeRES0–2
LMetizport1–2
LFOKUS0–1
Wex-Flame Sharks2–1
Lyngods0–1
WUNiTY esports2–0
LSinners0–2
WInner Circle Esports2–0
WK272–0
WNuclear TigeRES2–0
LAlliance0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZ NXTWin %Johnny Speeds
0%2 mapsLL
Overpass
57%14 mapsWLWWL
100%1 mapsW
Mirage
36%14 mapsWLLLW
100%1 mapsW
Nuke
25%12 mapsLLLWL
–
Inferno
70%10 mapsLWWWL
–
Dust II
33%9 mapsLLWLW
–
Train
67%6 mapsLWWWW
100%3 mapsWWW
Anubis
–
100%1 mapsW
Ancient
0%1 mapsL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA