Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (AUR-TL) prediction: IEM Beijing 2026, 2 Nov 2026

80.4%Eloline prediction19.6%
Map 1Map 2Map 3
Where to watch
IEM Beijing 2026 · Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3Aurora GamingAurora GamingAurora GamingLiquidLiquidLiquidLiquidLiquidVS
Twitch · ESLCS · EN

Aurora Gaming vs Liquid: who is more likely to win

Chance of each final score

2:051.3%2:129.1%1:211.5%0:28%

Chance it goes the full 3 maps: 41%

Quick read

  • Rating161 Elo points separate Aurora Gaming (1994) and Liquid (1833).
  • Head-to-headAurora Gaming 3-1 Liquid in 4 meetings since 2024. Aurora Gaming took the previous meeting 2-1 at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 (). More
  • FormAurora Gaming won 7 of their last 10; Liquid won 4 of 10. Aurora Gaming are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineAurora Gaming are the clear pick 80.4% by Elo. Rating, head-to-head and form all point to Aurora Gaming.

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Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

Aurora GamingWin %Liquid
53%19 mapsWWLWL
Dust II
17%12 mapsLLLWL
56%18 mapsLWLWL
Nuke
55%11 mapsLLLWW
67%15 mapsWWLWW
Mirage
67%12 mapsWWWLW
76%17 mapsWWLWW
Anubis
56%9 mapsLLWWW
50%12 mapsWLWWL
Inferno
77%13 mapsWWWLW
60%10 mapsLWWWW
Cache
45%11 mapsLLLLW
0%1 mapsL
Ancient
50%4 mapsWLWL
100%2 mapsWW
Overpass
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Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Aurora Gaming vs Liquid: rosters

Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
IGL
woxicAWP
XANTARES
woxic
woxicProfile
Player comparisonLast 12 months
60%Win rate59%
90Matches, 12 months110
7/10Last 10 matches4/10
won 3Current streaklost 1
28Age17
04/2025On the team since07/2026
2400eDPI–
JorkoProfile
LiquidElo: #23VRS: #19
EliGE
AWP
JTIGL
malbsMd
NAF

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Aurora GamingTeamLiquid
58% (125-90)Map win rate50% (89-89)
18-15Deciding maps won–lost16-11
66%Series wins without dropping a map56%
50 minAverage map length46 min
56%CT-side rounds won54%
56%First half won54%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Aurora Gaming vs Liquid head-to-head record

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Aurora Gaming ()

All 4 meetings

Aurora Gaming and Liquid: recent form

Aurora Gaming · 7 of 10 wonLiquid · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
179118611931200219941835179118611931200219941835
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WLiquid2–1
WNemiga2–0
WG22–0
LThe MongolZ1–2
WTeam Falcons2–1
LFURIA0–2
W9z2–0
WNIP2–0
L9z0–2
WSpirit2–0
LAurora Gaming1–2
WLegacy2–0
LFUT Esports0–2
WMOUZ2–1
Lmagic0–2
Lfnatic0–2
LNIP1–2
WJiJieHao2–0
L100 Thieves1–2
WBBL2–1