The MongolZ vs paiN (MGLZ-paiN) result: IEM Chengdu 2025, 5 Nov 2025

77.3%Win probability before the match22.7%
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The MongolZ vs paiN: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke50 min▶
The MongolZ
9
CT5:7T4:6
paiN
13
MAP 2Ancient36 min▶
The MongolZ
13
T9:3CT4:3
paiN
6
MAP 3Inferno68 min▶
The MongolZ
16
T4:8CT8:4OT1 CT2:1OT1 T2:0
paiN
13

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The MongolZ vs paiN: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating140 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1896) and paiN (1756).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 3-2 paiN in 5 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 2-0 at BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 6 of their last 10; paiN won 5 of 10. The MongolZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 77% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs paiN: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
66%Win rate46%
41Matches, 12 months41
6/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 1Current streaklost 1
23Age20
08/2023On the team since11/2023
–eDPI960
paiNElo: #54VRS: #54
biguzeraIGL
dav1deuS
dgt
AWP
Snowzin

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeampaiN
60% (119-80)Map win rate46% (78-93)
19-10Deciding maps won–lost16-10
62%Series wins without dropping a map48%
48 minAverage map length50 min
56%CT-side rounds won53%
62%First half won51%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs paiN: meetings before this one

The MongolZThe MongolZ3wins2winspaiNpaiNpaiN

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to The MongolZ ()

All 5 meetings

The MongolZ and paiN: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 6 of 10 wonpaiN · 5 of 10 won
LAstralis0–2
WHeroic2–1
WAurora Gaming2–1
LNatus Vincere1–2
W9z2–0
LFURIA0–2
W9z2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
WGentle Mates2–0
WGamerLegion2–1
WTYLOO2–0
LSpirit0–2
LLegacy1–2
WB82–0
WGamerLegion2–1
WGentle Mates2–0
LFUT Esports0–2
WFluxo2–1
Lfnatic0–1
LTeam Falcons0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %paiN
66%29 mapsLWLLW
Mirage
46%13 mapsWWLLW
59%17 mapsWLLWL
Dust II
50%20 mapsWWWLW
65%17 mapsLWWWL
Nuke
50%18 mapsWLLLW
45%20 mapsWWLWL
Inferno
57%14 mapsWLWLW
67%21 mapsLWWLW
Ancient
30%10 mapsLWLLL
57%7 mapsLWLWW
Anubis
40%5 mapsLLWWL
60%5 mapsWWWLL
Overpass
50%2 mapsWL
–
Train
0%1 mapsL

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