Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ (AUR-MGLZ) result: Thunderpick World Championship 2025, 19 Oct 2025
Aurora Gaming#5 · Elo 18121
The MongolZ#17 · Elo 18872Thunderpick World Championship 2025 · PlayoffsMatch over
34.4%Win probability before the match65.6%
Watch back
Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ: maps, round scores and veto
Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating75 Elo points separate Aurora Gaming (1812) and The MongolZ (1887).
- Head-to-headAurora Gaming 2-5 The MongolZ in 7 meetings since 2024. The MongolZ took the previous meeting 3-0 at Esports World Cup 2025 (). More
- FormAurora Gaming won 4 of their last 10; The MongolZ won 4 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 66% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ: rosters
Aurora GamingElo: #5VRS: #9
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 59% | Win rate | 65% |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Matches, 12 months | 37 |
| 4/10 | Last 10 matches | 4/10 |
| lost 1 | Current streak | lost 1 |
| 27 | Age | 23 |
| 04/2025 | On the team since | 08/2023 |
| 2400 | eDPI | – |
The MongolZElo: #17VRS: #49
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
Aurora GamingTeamThe MongolZ
53% (148-131)Map win rate61% (127-80)
28-22Deciding maps won–lost18-11
50%Series wins without dropping a map64%
47 minAverage map length48 min
56%CT-side rounds won55%
59%First half won63%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Aurora Gaming vs The MongolZ: meetings before this one
BO5Esports World Cup 2025 · Playoffs
Aurora Gaming41%00 : 3
The MongolZ59%3BO3BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming40%00 : 2The MongolZ60%2BO3IEM Dallas 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming42%00 : 2The MongolZ58%2BO3PGL Astana 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming34%22 : 0The MongolZ66%0BO1Skyesports Championship 2024 · Group AAurora Gaming44%00 : 1The MongolZ56%1
Aurora Gaming41%00 : 3The MongolZ59%3BO3BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming40%00 : 2The MongolZ60%2BO3IEM Dallas 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming42%00 : 2The MongolZ58%2BO3PGL Astana 2025 · PlayoffsAurora Gaming34%22 : 0The MongolZ66%0BO1Skyesports Championship 2024 · Group AAurora Gaming44%00 : 1The MongolZ56%1Aurora Gaming and The MongolZ: form going into the match
Aurora Gaming · 4 of 10 wonThe MongolZ · 4 of 10 won