The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere (MGLZ-NAVI) result: Thunderpick World Championship 2025, 18 Oct 2025
Thunderpick World Championship 2025 · PlayoffsMatch over
52.4%Win probability before the match47.6%
Watch back
The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto
The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating11 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1896) and Natus Vincere (1885).
- Head-to-headThe MongolZ 2-5 Natus Vincere in 7 meetings since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 (). More
- FormThe MongolZ won 5 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 7 of 10. Natus Vincere come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); Natus Vincere took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 67% | Win rate | 60% |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Matches, 12 months | 30 |
| 5/10 | Last 10 matches | 7/10 |
| won 1 | Current streak | won 2 |
| 23 | Age | 20 |
| 08/2023 | On the team since | 11/2023 |
| – | eDPI | 1068 |
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
The MongolZTeamNatus Vincere
62% (126-78)Map win rate57% (86-65)
18-10Deciding maps won–lost13-13
64%Series wins without dropping a map62%
48 minAverage map length49 min
55%CT-side rounds won53%
62%First half won62%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one
BO3ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 · Stage 2
The MongolZ58%00 : 2
Natus Vincere42%2BO3IEM Cologne 2025 · Playoffs
The MongolZ64%00 : 2
Natus Vincere36%2BO3PGL Astana 2025 · Group Stage
The MongolZ52%22 : 0
Natus Vincere48%0BO3BLAST Open Lisbon Spring 2025 · Group B
The MongolZ51%11 : 2
Natus Vincere49%2BO3ESL Pro League Season 21 2025 · Playoffs
The MongolZ47%22 : 0
Natus Vincere53%0
The MongolZ and Natus Vincere: form going into the match
The MongolZ · 5 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer







