The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere (MGLZ-NAVI) result: Thunderpick World Championship 2025, 18 Oct 2025

52.4%Win probability before the match47.6%
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The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Mirage45 min
The MongolZ
9
T7:5CT2:8
Natus Vincere
13
MAP 2Nuke35 min
The MongolZ
13
CT9:3T4:0
Natus Vincere
3
MAP 3Ancient46 min
The MongolZ
10
T5:7CT5:6
Natus Vincere
13

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The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating11 Elo points separate The MongolZ (1896) and Natus Vincere (1885).
  • Head-to-headThe MongolZ 2-5 Natus Vincere in 7 meetings since 2024. Natus Vincere took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Pro League Season 22 2025 (). More
  • FormThe MongolZ won 5 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 7 of 10. Natus Vincere come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); Natus Vincere took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: rosters

The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
AWP
bLitzIGL
AWP
Techno
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate60%
36Matches, 12 months30
5/10Last 10 matches7/10
won 1Current streakwon 2
23Age20
08/2023On the team since11/2023
–eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

The MongolZTeamNatus Vincere
62% (126-78)Map win rate57% (86-65)
18-10Deciding maps won–lost13-13
64%Series wins without dropping a map62%
48 minAverage map length49 min
55%CT-side rounds won53%
62%First half won62%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

The MongolZ vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

7 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to Natus Vincere ()

All 7 meetings

The MongolZ and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

The MongolZ · 5 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
184318661888191018981887184318661888191018981887
Elo after each match · oldernewer
W9z2–0
LFURIA0–2
W9z2–0
LNatus Vincere0–2
WGentle Mates2–0
WGamerLegion2–1
LInner Circle Esports0–2
LHOTU1–2
LFURIA2–3
WLiquid2–1
WAurora Gaming2–1
WImperial2–1
LMOUZ1–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
WHOTU2–0
L3DMAX1–2
LTeam Falcons0–2
WAurora Gaming2–0
WNIP2–0
WNIP2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

The MongolZWin %Natus Vincere
62%29 mapsLWLWL
Mirage
50%16 mapsWLLWW
50%18 mapsLLWWW
Inferno
70%20 mapsLLWWW
71%21 mapsLLLWW
Ancient
47%15 mapsWWWLL
56%16 mapsLLWLW
Nuke
50%18 mapsLWWLL
61%18 mapsWLLWL
Dust II
71%7 mapsWWWLW
50%8 mapsLWLWW
Anubis
0%3 mapsLLL
–
Train
80%10 mapsLWWWW
75%4 mapsWWWL
Overpass
–

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