THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (TdU-GZ) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026, 3 May 2026

80.6%Win probability before the match19.4%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating162 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1716) and Ground Zero (1554).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 8-1 Ground Zero in 9 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 10 of their last 10; Ground Zero won 8 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 81% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
85%Win rate56%
54Matches, 12 months64
10/10Last 10 matches8/10
won 10Current streakwon 1
28Age27
11/2025On the team since08/2025
760eDPI800
apocdudProfile
Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamGround Zero
77% (75-23)Map win rate51% (93-89)
11-2Deciding maps won–lost18-9
69%Series wins without dropping a map56%
41 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero: meetings before this one

9 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 9 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Ground Zero: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 10 of 10 wonGround Zero · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
154416041664172417161555154416041664172417161555
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–1
Wlow cortisol2–0
WSemperFi Esports2–0
WSemperFi Esports2–1
WArcade Esports1–0
WGround Zero2–1
WTime Waves1–0
WSemperFi Esports2–1
WGround Zero2–1
WAbyssal2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WMARKandLARRY2–0
WSkele2–0
WRooster2–0
WAbyssal2–1
WRooster2–1
LDEPO0–2
WAbyssal2–1
W11mins2–0