Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (GZ-TdU) result: ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 season 51 2026, 1 May 2026

23.5%Win probability before the match76.5%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating136 Elo points separate Ground Zero (1570) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1706).
  • Head-to-headGround Zero 1-7 THUNDER dOWNUNDER in 8 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-1 at ANZC Locals Brisbane: Autumn 2026 (). More
  • FormGround Zero won 8 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 9 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 77% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

Ground ZeroElo: #147VRS: #136
AWP
apocdudProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
56%Win rate85%
62Matches, 12 months53
8/10Last 10 matches9/10
won 5Current streakwon 9
27Age28
08/2025On the team since11/2025
800eDPI760
aliStairProfile
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Ground ZeroTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
51% (91-86)Map win rate76% (73-23)
17-9Deciding maps won–lost11-2
57%Series wins without dropping a map68%
45 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: meetings before this one

8 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 8 meetings

Ground Zero and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

Ground Zero · 8 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 9 of 10 wonWonLost
154416031661172015731707154416031661172015731707
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WMARKandLARRY2–0
WSkele2–0
WRooster2–0
WAbyssal2–1
WRooster2–1
LDEPO0–2
WAbyssal2–1
W11mins2–0
WAbyssal2–0
LRooster1–2
WAbyssal2–1
Wlow cortisol2–0
WSemperFi Esports2–0
WSemperFi Esports2–1
WArcade Esports1–0
WGround Zero2–1
WTime Waves1–0
WSemperFi Esports2–1
WGround Zero2–1
LSemperFi Esports0–2