Astralis vs The MongolZ (AST-MGLZ) result: PGL Bucharest 2026, 6 Apr 2026
41.3%Win probability before the match58.7%
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Astralis vs The MongolZ: maps, round scores and veto
Astralis vs The MongolZ: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating41 Elo points separate Astralis (1874) and The MongolZ (1915).
- Head-to-headAstralis 3-1 The MongolZ in 4 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-0 at IEM Chengdu 2025 (). More
- FormAstralis won 7 of their last 10; The MongolZ won 6 of 10. Astralis come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave The MongolZ a 59% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
Astralis vs The MongolZ: rosters
Player comparison12 months before this match
| 60% | Win rate | 60% |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Matches, 12 months | 72 |
| 7/10 | Last 10 matches | 6/10 |
| won 4 | Current streak | lost 1 |
| 23 | Age | 23 |
| 01/2026 | On the team since | 08/2023 |
| 1584 | eDPI | – |
The MongolZElo: #14VRS: #49
Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).
Team comparison
AstralisTeamThe MongolZ
51% (108-105)Map win rate56% (116-90)
22-14Deciding maps won–lost20-10
51%Series wins without dropping a map60%
47 minAverage map length47 min
53%CT-side rounds won53%
53%First half won45%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
Astralis vs The MongolZ: meetings before this one
All 4 meetings
Astralis and The MongolZ: form going into the match
Astralis · 7 of 10 wonThe MongolZ · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer