Astralis vs paiN (AST-paiN) result: PGL Astana 2025, 11 May 2025

AstralisAstralis#19 · Elo 17452paiNpaiNpaiN#54 · Elo 16670
PGL Astana 2025 · Group StageMatch overBO3LAN
66.3%Win probability before the match33.7%
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Astralis vs paiN: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke40 min▶
Astralis
13
CT10:2T3:2
paiN
4
MAP 2Inferno50 min▶
Astralis
13
CT7:5T6:4
paiN
9

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Astralis vs paiN: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating78 Elo points separate Astralis (1745) and paiN (1667).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 1-1 paiN in 2 meetings since 2024. paiN took the previous meeting 2-1 at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 5 of their last 10; paiN won 1 of 10. Astralis are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Astralis a 66% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs paiN: rosters

AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
device
HooXiIGL
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP
stavn
stavnProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
48%Win rate33%
23Matches, 12 months3
5/10Last 10 matches1/3
won 1Current streakwon 1
23Age20
12/2023On the team since11/2023
1040eDPI960
paiNElo: #54VRS: #54
biguzeraIGL
dav1deuS
dgt
AWP
Snowzin

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeampaiN
49% (87-89)Map win rate61% (171-109)
16-15Deciding maps won–lost25-12
52%Series wins without dropping a map60%
49 minAverage map length48 min
51%CT-side rounds won46%
48%First half won41%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs paiN: meetings before this one

AstralisAstralis1win1winpaiNpaiNpaiN

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to paiN ()

All 2 meetings

Astralis and paiN: form going into the match

Astralis · 5 of 10 wonpaiN · 1 of 10 won
WODDIK2–1
LB81–2
WBIG2–1
LMetizport1–2
WENCE1–0
WPARIVISION1–0
LOG0–1
LVirtus.pro0–2
WLegacy2–1
LBetclic Apogee Esports0–2
WHOTU2–0
LWildcard0–2
LMOUZ1–2
LComplexity0–2
LFaZe0–2
LTeam Falcons1–2
LFaZe0–2
LAurora Gaming1–2
LEternal Fire0–2
LNatus Vincere0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %paiN
67%18 mapsLLWWW
Inferno
22%18 mapsLWLLL
42%12 mapsLWWLL
Mirage
57%14 mapsWLWWL
45%11 mapsWWLWL
Nuke
71%14 mapsWLWLL
20%10 mapsLLLLW
Dust II
42%12 mapsLLLWL
53%15 mapsWLWLL
Ancient
–
40%5 mapsLLWLW
Train
0%4 mapsLLLL
–
Anubis
17%6 mapsLLLWL

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