SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (SFE-TdU) result: ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals season 51 2026, 27 May 2026

30.7%Win probability before the match69.3%
Map 1SemperFi EsportswonMap 2SemperFi Esportswon
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SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating94 Elo points separate SemperFi Esports (1613) and THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1707).
  • Head-to-headSemperFi Esports 1-4 THUNDER dOWNUNDER in 5 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Asian Champions League 2026 (). More
  • FormSemperFi Esports won 6 of their last 10; THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 8 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 69% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: rosters

HaZR
AWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate84%
79Matches, 12 months61
6/10Last 10 matches8/10
lost 2Current streaklost 1
26Age28
08/2024On the team since11/2025
840eDPI760
aliStairProfile
AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

SemperFi EsportsTeamTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
65% (115-63)Map win rate75% (86-29)
13-4Deciding maps won–lost13-3
72%Series wins without dropping a map68%
43 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 5 meetings

SemperFi Esports and THUNDER dOWNUNDER: form going into the match

SemperFi Esports · 6 of 10 wonTHUNDER dOWNUNDER · 8 of 10 wonWonLost
159216401687173416001707159216401687173416001707
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
LKaleido Gaming0–2
WChange The Game2–1
LRare Atom0–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WTYLOO2–0
WRooster2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WRooster2–0
WMuttley Crew2–1
LLynn Vision1–2
WKaleido Gaming2–1
WHaunted House2–1
WSemperFi Esports2–0
WAlter Ego2–0
LHaunted House0–2
WGround Zero2–0
WGround Zero2–0
WAbyssal2–1
Wlow cortisol2–0