Underground ESC vs Mindfreak (UG-MF) result: Dfrag Open Series #3 2026, 1 Feb 2026

21.1%Win probability before the match78.9%
Map 1MindfreakMindfreakwonMap 2MindfreakMindfreakwon
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Underground ESC vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating150 Elo points separate Underground ESC (1424) and Mindfreak (1574).
  • Head-to-headUnderground ESC 1-4 Mindfreak in 5 meetings since 2024. Mindfreak took the previous meeting 2-1 at ANZC Locals Brisbane: Spring 2025 (). More
  • FormUnderground ESC won 4 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 6 of 10. Mindfreak come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Mindfreak a 79% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Underground ESC vs Mindfreak: rosters

MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Underground ESCTeamMindfreak
35% (25-47)Map win rate52% (83-78)
1-5Deciding maps won–lost7-13
88%Series wins without dropping a map73%
43 minAverage map length45 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Underground ESC vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Mindfreak ()

All 5 meetings

Underground ESC and Mindfreak: form going into the match

Underground ESC · 4 of 10 wonMindfreak · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
135214281504158014241572135214281504158014241572
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WShanghai Sharks ESC2–0
LLITE Esports0–2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
LMindfreak1–2
LRooster1–2
WMindfreak1–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WBlingus2–0
LRooster0–1
LGround Zero0–2
WDing Cuts2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WLITE Esports2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WLITE Esports2–1
WRooster2–0
WUnderground ESC2–1
WTime Waves2–0
LUnderground ESC0–1