500 vs Sinners (500-SIN) result: Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 2025, 14 Aug 2025

51.7%Win probability before the match48.3%
Map 1SinnerswonMap 2Sinnerswon
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500 vs Sinners: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating8 Elo points separate 500 (1638) and Sinners (1630).
  • Head-to-head500 1-2 Sinners in 3 meetings since 2024. Sinners took the previous meeting 2-1 at YaLLa Compass Fall 2024 (). More
  • Form500 won 7 of their last 10; Sinners won 6 of 10. 500 come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start Eloline rated this a coin flip (52% for the side it leaned to); Sinners took it. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

500 vs Sinners: rosters

CeRqAWP
hampusIGL
Rainwaker
REDSTARAWP
Player comparison12 months before this match
25Age27
07/2024On the team since10/2024
880eDPI400
beastik
beastikProfile
SinnersElo: #32VRS: #41
beastikIGL
SHOCK

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

500TeamSinners
58% (163-117)Map win rate54% (203-174)
29-16Deciding maps won–lost26-39
52%Series wins without dropping a map67%
46 minAverage map length46 min
51%CT-side rounds won40%
58%First half won36%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

500 vs Sinners: meetings before this one

5005001win2winsSinnersSinners

3 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Sinners ()

All 3 meetings

500 and Sinners: form going into the match

500 · 7 of 10 wonSinners · 6 of 10 won
WPassion UA2–1
LBetclic Apogee Esports1–2
WCYBERSHOKE Esports2–0
W9INE2–0
WARCRED2–0
WTPuDCATb TPu2–0
LNAVI Junior0–2
WDynamo Eclot2–0
WAMKAL ESPORTS2–0
LIberian Soul0–2
WHOTU2–0
WAlliance2–1
WMetizport2–0
WRUBY2–1
LZero Tenacity0–2
Wex-Sabre Esports2–0
LSENZA Esports1–2
Wex-Sabre Esports2–0
LDynamo Eclot1–2
LZero Tenacity1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

500Win %Sinners
73%15 mapsWWWWW
Mirage
14%7 mapsLLLLL
50%12 mapsLLLLW
Ancient
30%10 mapsWLLWL
56%9 mapsWLWLL
Inferno
45%11 mapsLLWLL
33%9 mapsLLLLL
Nuke
43%7 mapsWLLWW
50%8 mapsLLWWL
Anubis
40%5 mapsLLWLW
33%6 mapsWLWLL
Dust II
100%1 mapsW
–
Train
40%5 mapsLWWLL

Liquipedia CC BY-SA