Ursa vs illwill (URSA-ILWL) result: CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #14 season 3 2026, 24 Jan 2026

39.1%Win probability before the match60.9%
Map 1UrsawonMap 2Ursawon
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Ursa vs illwill: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating51 Elo points separate Ursa (1617) and illwill (1668).
  • Head-to-headUrsa 0-1 illwill in 1 meeting since 2024. illwill took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 season 3 2026 (). More
  • FormUrsa won 6 of their last 10; illwill won 9 of 10. illwill are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave illwill a 61% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Ursa vs illwill: rosters

AWP
illwillVRS: #255

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

UrsaTeamillwill
56% (85-66)Map win rate63% (41-24)
13-10Deciding maps won–lost5-3
41%Series wins without dropping a map72%
46 minAverage map length47 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Ursa vs illwill: meetings before this one

UrsaUrsa0wins1winillwillillwill

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to illwill ()

The only meeting

Ursa and illwill: form going into the match

Ursa · 6 of 10 wonillwill · 9 of 10 won
LGentle Mates0–2
LBetBoom Team0–2
WEYEBALLERS2–1
WBC.Game Esports2–0
WBebop2–1
WAcend2–1
WWATERMELON1–0
LTeam Nemesis1–2
WLeo Team1–0
Lillwill0–2
WFavbet2–1
WMOUZ NXT2–0
WBET-M 332–0
Llos kogutos0–2
WAM Gaming2–0
WALLINNERS2–0
WPigeons2–0
WSangal2–0
WUrsa2–0
Wpetardka2–0