illwill vs Ursa (ILWL-URSA) result: BC Game Masters Season 1 2026, 13 Mar 2026
76.3%Win probability before the match23.7%
Map 1
wonMap 2won
wonMap 2wonWatch back
illwill vs Ursa: what the model expected
Quick read
- Rating134 Elo points separate illwill (1689) and Ursa (1555).
- Head-to-headillwill 1-1 Ursa in 2 meetings since 2024. Ursa took the previous meeting 2-0 at CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #14 season 3 2026 (). More
- Formillwill won 7 of their last 10; Ursa won 6 of 10. illwill come in slightly sharper. More
- Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave illwill a 76% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.
illwill vs Ursa: rosters
Team comparison
illwillTeamUrsa
64% (95-54)Map win rate55% (120-97)
15-7Deciding maps won–lost15-14
63%Series wins without dropping a map56%
45 minAverage map length46 min
48%CT-side rounds won53%
38%First half won70%
Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0
illwill vs Ursa: meetings before this one
All 2 meetings
illwill and Ursa: form going into the match
illwill · 7 of 10 wonUrsa · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
Elo after each match · oldernewer