Rare Atom vs Morningstar (RA-MSTAR) result: ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 season 51 2026, 22 Mar 2026

56.7%Win probability before the match43.3%
Map 1MorningstarMorningstarwonMap 2Rare AtomwonMap 3MorningstarMorningstarwon
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Rare Atom vs Morningstar: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating31 Elo points separate Rare Atom (1650) and Morningstar (1619).
  • Head-to-headRare Atom 1-1 Morningstar in 2 meetings since 2024. Rare Atom took the previous meeting 3-1 at VOID Masters 2025 (). More
  • FormRare Atom won 5 of their last 10; Morningstar won 6 of 10. Morningstar come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Rare Atom a 57% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Rare Atom vs Morningstar: rosters

Rare AtomElo: #99VRS: #133
AWP
KazeAWP
SummerIGL
Player comparison12 months before this match
48%Win rate50%
52Matches, 12 months54
4/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streaklost 3
21Age26
–On the team since12/2025
–eDPI1120
MorningstarElo: #143
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

Rare AtomTeamMorningstar
53% (96-86)Map win rate56% (24-19)
15-9Deciding maps won–lost4-0
57%Series wins without dropping a map64%
45 minAverage map length47 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

Rare Atom vs Morningstar: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 3–1 to Rare Atom ()

All 2 meetings

Rare Atom and Morningstar: form going into the match

Rare Atom · 5 of 10 wonMorningstar · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
160716351663169016481615160716351663169016481615
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LLynn Vision0–3
WLegion2–0
WLast Bullet2–0
LAlter Ego0–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WDEPO2–0
LAlter Ego0–2
WGround Zero1–0
LThe Huns Esports0–2
WLynn Vision2–1
LBMZ0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
LLynn Vision0–2
WChange The Game2–0
LTYLOO0–2
W100RA1–0
WChange The Game2–1
WLast Bullet2–0
WBoring Players2–0
WLegion2–0