MOUZ vs Astralis (MOUZ-AST) result: BLAST Bounty Fall 2025, 14 Aug 2025

74.4%Win probability before the match25.6%
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MOUZ vs Astralis: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Nuke52 min▶
MOUZ
13
CT7:5T6:3
Astralis
8
MAP 2Mirage39 min▶
MOUZ
13
T8:4CT5:0
Astralis
4

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MOUZ vs Astralis: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating122 Elo points separate MOUZ (1944) and Astralis (1822).
  • Head-to-headMOUZ 1-1 Astralis in 2 meetings since 2024. MOUZ took the previous meeting 2-1 at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 (). More
  • FormMOUZ won 7 of their last 10; Astralis won 6 of 10. MOUZ come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave MOUZ a 74% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

MOUZ vs Astralis: rosters

MOUZElo: #2VRS: #4
BrollanIGL
Spinx
torzsiAWP
xertioNIGL
torzsi
torzsiProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
67%Win rate55%
9Matches, 12 months42
6/9Last 10 matches6/10
won 2Current streakwon 2
23Age23
03/2023On the team since12/2023
800eDPI1040
stavn
stavnProfile
AstralisElo: #19VRS: #10
device
HooXiIGL
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

MOUZTeamAstralis
57% (112-83)Map win rate50% (88-87)
19-9Deciding maps won–lost18-11
58%Series wins without dropping a map50%
50 minAverage map length49 min
52%CT-side rounds won53%
46%First half won52%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

MOUZ vs Astralis: meetings before this one

MOUZMOUZ1win1winAstralisAstralis

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to MOUZ ()

All 2 meetings

MOUZ and Astralis: form going into the match

MOUZ · 7 of 10 wonAstralis · 6 of 10 won
WB82–0
WOG2–1
LSpirit0–3
WVitality2–0
WFURIA2–1
LSpirit1–2
WNatus Vincere2–0
WLiquid2–0
LVitality1–2
WSpirit2–1
WNatus Vincere2–1
WRare Atom2–0
LFURIA0–2
LVitality0–2
WpaiN2–1
LFURIA0–2
WB82–0
LTYLOO1–3
WBetBoom Team2–0
WLynn Vision2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

MOUZWin %Astralis
67%24 mapsWWWLL
Nuke
67%21 mapsWLWLL
50%22 mapsWWWWW
Inferno
60%20 mapsWLWWW
60%25 mapsWLWLW
Mirage
50%16 mapsWLWWL
63%16 mapsLLLLW
Ancient
58%19 mapsWLLWW
56%18 mapsWWLWW
Dust II
21%14 mapsLLLWL
75%12 mapsLWWWW
Train
50%6 mapsLWWLW
0%1 mapsL
Overpass
50%2 mapsWL

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