Astralis vs Natus Vincere (AST-NAVI) result: BLAST Bounty Fall 2025, 9 Aug 2025

35.1%Win probability before the match64.9%
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BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 · Round of 16 match 8AstralisAstralisAstralisNatus VincereNatus VincereNatus VincereVS
REPLAYYouTube · BLAST Premier · EN

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Astralis vs Natus Vincere: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Dust II56 min▶
Astralis
11
T4:8CT7:5
Natus Vincere
13
MAP 2Inferno53 min▶
Astralis
13
CT6:6T7:1
Natus Vincere
7
MAP 3Nuke34 min▶
Astralis
13
T10:2CT3:0
Natus Vincere
2

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Astralis vs Natus Vincere: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating71 Elo points separate Astralis (1802) and Natus Vincere (1873).
  • Head-to-headAstralis 2-3 Natus Vincere in 5 meetings since 2024. Astralis took the previous meeting 2-1 at PGL Astana 2025 (). More
  • FormAstralis won 6 of their last 10; Natus Vincere won 6 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Natus Vincere a 65% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Astralis vs Natus Vincere: rosters

AstralisElo: #18VRS: #10
device
HooXiIGL
jabbi
Staehr
stavnAWP
stavn
stavnProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
54%Win rate62%
41Matches, 12 months13
6/10Last 10 matches6/10
won 1Current streakwon 1
23Age20
12/2023On the team since11/2023
1040eDPI1068
w0nderfulProfile
Natus VincereElo: #8VRS: #34
AleksibIGL
b1t
iM
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AstralisTeamNatus Vincere
50% (89-90)Map win rate61% (100-64)
17-12Deciding maps won–lost16-8
53%Series wins without dropping a map59%
49 minAverage map length49 min
53%CT-side rounds won50%
52%First half won62%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Astralis vs Natus Vincere: meetings before this one

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Astralis ()

All 5 meetings

Astralis and Natus Vincere: form going into the match

Astralis · 6 of 10 wonNatus Vincere · 6 of 10 won
WRare Atom2–0
LFURIA0–2
LVitality0–2
WpaiN2–1
LFURIA0–2
WB82–0
LTYLOO1–3
WBetBoom Team2–0
WLynn Vision2–0
WMIBR2–0
WTeam Next Level2–1
LSpirit1–2
WThe MongolZ2–0
WFaZe2–0
WNIP2–1
LMOUZ0–2
WFaZe2–1
LVitality0–2
WG22–1
LSpirit0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AstralisWin %Natus Vincere
60%20 mapsLWWWL
Inferno
75%16 mapsWWWWW
47%17 mapsLWWLW
Mirage
63%19 mapsWLLWL
58%19 mapsWWLLW
Ancient
42%12 mapsLLWWL
62%21 mapsWLLWL
Nuke
38%8 mapsWWLLW
23%13 mapsWLWLL
Dust II
40%5 mapsWLLLW
50%6 mapsWLWWL
Train
80%5 mapsWLWWW
–
Anubis
17%6 mapsLLLLL
50%2 mapsLW
Overpass
–

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