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Alliance vs Nexus (ALL-NXS) result: Roman Imperium Cup Season 6 2026, 13 Mar 2026

AllianceAlliance#55 · Elo 17390NexusNexus#116 · Elo 14951
Roman Imperium Cup Season 6 2026 · Group DMatch overBO1
80.4%Win probability before the match19.6%
Map 1InfernoNexus14-16
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Alliance vs Nexus: maps, round scores and veto

MAP 1Inferno77 min
Alliance
14
CT6:6T6:6OT1 T1:2OT1 CT1:2
Nexus
16

Liquipedia CC BY-SA

Alliance vs Nexus: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating244 Elo points separate Alliance (1739) and Nexus (1495).
  • Head-to-headAlliance 2-3 Nexus in 5 meetings since 2024. Nexus took the previous meeting 2-1 at ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 season 50 2025 (). More
  • FormAlliance won 8 of their last 10; Nexus won 4 of 10. Alliance are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave Alliance a 80% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

Alliance vs Nexus: rosters

AllianceElo: #55VRS: #24
eraaAWP
twistIGL
eraa
eraaProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
70%Win rate34%
37Matches, 12 months74
8/10Last 10 matches4/10
lost 1Current streaklost 2
24Age25
12/2024On the team since09/2024
600eDPI800
XELLOW
XELLOWProfile
NexusElo: #116VRS: #111
IGL
XELLOWAWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

AllianceTeamNexus
62% (204-124)Map win rate45% (178-216)
25-27Deciding maps won–lost23-43
69%Series wins without dropping a map62%
48 minAverage map length44 min
55%CT-side rounds won49%
62%First half won47%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

Alliance vs Nexus: meetings before this one

AllianceAlliance2wins3winsNexusNexus

5 meetings · Most recent: 2–1 to Nexus ()

BO3ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 season 50 2025 · PlayoffsAllianceAlliance51%11 : 2NexusNexus49%2BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 12 2024 · Group DAllianceAlliance57%11 : 2NexusNexus43%2BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 11 2024 · Group AAllianceAlliance70%22 : 0NexusNexus30%0BO3CCT Europe Closed Qualifier season 8 2024 · Group DAllianceAlliance52%22 : 1NexusNexus48%1BO1PGL Major Copenhagen: Europe Open Qualifier #4 2024 · PlayoffsAllianceAlliance61%00 : 1NexusNexus39%1
All 5 meetings

Alliance and Nexus: form going into the match

Alliance · 8 of 10 wonNexus · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
148215791676177317501504148215791676177317501504
Elo after each match · oldernewer
AllianceAllianceSee all
LWHITEBIRD0–2
WARCRED2–1
LTDK1–2
WMOUZ NXT2–0
WGenOne2–1
Wlos kogutos2–0
WSinners2–0
WJohnny Speeds2–0
WMetizport2–0
WRebels Gaming2–0
NexusNexusSee all
LBetclic Apogee Esports1–2
LFlyQuest0–2
WDiamant Esports1–0
Wmindshock1–0
LkONO.ECF0–2
Lex-RUBY1–2
WLazer Cats2–1
LPhantom0–2
LASTRAL1–2
WBIG EQUIPA2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

AllianceWin %Nexus
57%7 mapsWWWWL
Dust II
42%12 mapsLWLWL
67%3 mapsLWW
Ancient
40%10 mapsLWLLL
67%6 mapsWLWWL
Inferno
40%5 mapsWLLWL
100%4 mapsWWWW
Train
17%6 mapsWLLLL
38%8 mapsLWLLW
Nuke
0%1 mapsL
100%4 mapsWWWW
Overpass
0%1 mapsL
50%2 mapsWL
Anubis
50%2 mapsLW
–
Mirage
50%4 mapsLWLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA