illwill vs fnatic (ILWL-FNC) result: BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 season 2 2026, 28 May 2026

39.5%Win probability before the match60.5%
Map 1fnaticwonMap 2illwillwonMap 3fnaticwon
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illwill vs fnatic: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating50 Elo points separate illwill (1670) and fnatic (1720).
  • Head-to-headillwill 0-1 fnatic in 1 meeting since 2024. fnatic took the previous meeting 2-1 at DraculaN Season 4 2025 (). More
  • Formillwill won 6 of their last 10; fnatic won 6 of 10. Neither side has the better run of results. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave fnatic a 61% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs fnatic: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
fnaticElo: #28VRS: #35
fearIGL
AWP
KRIMZ

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamfnatic
62% (118-72)Map win rate56% (160-125)
19-10Deciding maps won–lost23-25
62%Series wins without dropping a map63%
45 minAverage map length49 min
48%CT-side rounds won51%
38%First half won43%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill vs fnatic: meetings before this one

illwillillwill0wins1winfnaticfnatic

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–1 to fnatic ()

The only meeting

illwill and fnatic: form going into the match

illwill · 6 of 10 wonfnatic · 6 of 10 wonWonLost
166916941719174416771725166916941719174416771725
Elo after each match · oldernewer
Lex-RUBY0–2
L100 Thieves1–2
WJohnny Speeds2–1
Wmagic2–1
LFaZe0–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–0
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–0
WDeorum2–0
LJohnny Speeds1–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
LEternal Fire1–2
WRune Eaters2–0
LLavked1–2
WALGO Esports2–0
Wmegoshort2–0
WBrute2–0
LOramond1–2
WFalcons Force2–0
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–1
LLavked0–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %fnatic
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
75%8 mapsWLWWL
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
57%7 mapsWWLWL
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
57%7 mapsWWWLL
–
Anubis
45%11 mapsLWWLL
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
38%8 mapsLWWLW
–
Ancient
38%8 mapsWWWLL
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
–

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