illwill vs 100 Thieves (ILWL-100T) result: Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier 2026, 2 May 2026

40%Win probability before the match60%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2100 Thieves100 ThieveswonMap 3100 Thieves100 Thieveswon
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illwill vs 100 Thieves: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating47 Elo points separate illwill (1693) and 100 Thieves (1740).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • Formillwill won 7 of their last 10; 100 Thieves won 4 of 10. illwill are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave 100 Thieves a 60% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs 100 Thieves: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
100 ThievesElo: #27VRS: #28
device
rainIGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeam100 Thieves
63% (117-68)Map win rate62% (39-24)
19-9Deciding maps won–lost5-6
62%Series wins without dropping a map62%
45 minAverage map length48 min
48%CT-side rounds won60%
38%First half won38%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill and 100 Thieves: form going into the match

illwill · 7 of 10 won100 Thieves · 4 of 10 wonWonLost
166617011736177116961740166617011736177116961740
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WJohnny Speeds2–1
Wmagic2–1
LFaZe0–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–0
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–0
WDeorum2–0
LJohnny Speeds1–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
WAM Gaming2–0
LWW Team1–2
WTDK2–0
LNIP0–2
LBIG1–2
LK271–2
WACROBATS2–1
WLavked2–1
WHOTU2–1
Lmagic1–2
LAM Gaming0–2
LJohnny Speeds1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %100 Thieves
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
0%2 mapsLL
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
33%3 mapsWLL
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
50%4 mapsLLWW
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
100%1 mapsW
–
Ancient
67%3 mapsWLW
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
–
–
Anubis
0%1 mapsL

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