illwill vs magic (ILWL-MGC) result: HLC Belgrade Pro 2026, 5 Apr 2026

27.9%Win probability before the match72.1%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2magicwonMap 3illwillwon
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illwill vs magic: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating109 Elo points separate illwill (1703) and magic (1812).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • Formillwill won 6 of their last 10; magic won 9 of 10. magic are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave magic a 72% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs magic: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
magicElo: #26VRS: #23
AWP
IGL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeammagic
63% (113-66)Map win rate67% (58-28)
17-9Deciding maps won–lost9-4
65%Series wins without dropping a map65%
45 minAverage map length47 min
48%CT-side rounds won58%
38%First half won70%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill and magic: form going into the match

illwill · 6 of 10 wonmagic · 9 of 10 wonWonLost
166617241781183917031813166617241781183917031813
Elo after each match · oldernewer
LFaZe0–2
WBetclic Apogee Esports2–0
Wex-Zero Tenacity2–0
WDeorum2–0
LJohnny Speeds1–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
WAM Gaming2–0
LWW Team1–2
LLavked0–2
WRebels Gaming2–1
LBIG0–2
WDrama eSports2–0
WCYBERSHOKE Esports2–0
WPIVOSQUAD2–0
WRe Di2–0
WK273–2
WK272–0
WACROBATS2–0
W100 Thieves2–1
WNuclear TigeRES2–0

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %magic
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
43%7 mapsLLWLW
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
25%4 mapsLLWL
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
67%3 mapsWLW
–
Ancient
67%6 mapsLWWLW
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
–
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
100%1 mapsW
–
Anubis
100%2 mapsWW

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