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illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity (ILWL-ex-ZT) result: HLC Belgrade Pro 2026, 3 Apr 2026

illwillillwillElo 16932EZex-Zero Tenacity#70 · Elo 15350
HLC Belgrade Pro 2026 · Group BMatch overBO3
79.9%Win probability before the match20.1%
Map 1illwillwonMap 2illwillwon
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illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating158 Elo points separate illwill (1693) and ex-Zero Tenacity (1535).
  • Head-to-headThese teams have not met yet.
  • Formillwill won 6 of their last 10; ex-Zero Tenacity won 4 of 10. illwill come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave illwill a 80% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

illwill vs ex-Zero Tenacity: rosters

illwillVRS: #255
ex-Zero TenacityElo: #70VRS: #93
AWP
emiIGL
AWP

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

illwillTeamex-Zero Tenacity
63% (109-64)Map win rate45% (57-69)
17-9Deciding maps won–lost9-15
63%Series wins without dropping a map57%
45 minAverage map length46 min
48%CT-side rounds won47%
38%First half won27%
OpenTeam pageOpen

Source: Liquipedia, CC BY-SA 3.0

illwill and ex-Zero Tenacity: form going into the match

illwill · 6 of 10 wonex-Zero Tenacity · 4 of 10 won
illwillillwillSee all
WDeorum2–0
LJohnny Speeds1–2
WNuclear TigeRES2–1
WAM Gaming2–0
LWW Team1–2
LLavked0–2
WRebels Gaming2–1
LMetizport0–2
WTeam Novaq2–0
WUrsa2–0
EZex-Zero TenacitySee all
WDeorum2–0
LSTATE1–2
LRUSTEC0–2
LUrsa1–2
WReThink2–1
LBebop1–2
WMASONIC2–0
Wrottweilers2–1
LHashiras0–2
LHAVU1–2

Map pool: how both teams fare on each map

illwillWin %ex-Zero Tenacity
75%4 mapsWWWL
Dust II
46%13 mapsLLWWW
80%5 mapsWWWLW
Nuke
27%11 mapsLWWLL
33%6 mapsWLLLL
Mirage
50%8 mapsWWLWW
75%4 mapsWWLW
Inferno
56%9 mapsWWLLW
50%2 mapsWL
Overpass
14%7 mapsLLLWL
–
Anubis
50%2 mapsLW

Liquipedia CC BY-SA