THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Rooster (TdU-RSTR) result: Dfrag Open Series #3 2026, 8 Feb 2026

85.1%Win probability before the match14.9%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Rooster: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating196 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1712) and Rooster (1516).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 2-0 Rooster in 2 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Dfrag Open Series #3 2026 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 9 of their last 10; Rooster won 5 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 85% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Rooster: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
80%Win rate61%
40Matches, 12 months49
9/10Last 10 matches5/10
won 8Current streakwon 2
27Age25
11/2025On the team since09/2021
760eDPI–
chelleosProfile
RoosterElo: #200VRS: #205
AWP
SkulL

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamRooster
83% (30-6)Map win rate58% (117-84)
3-1Deciding maps won–lost13-14
79%Series wins without dropping a map71%
40 minAverage map length43 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Rooster: meetings before this one

2 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 2 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Rooster: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 9 of 10 wonRooster · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
149315691645172017121516149315691645172017121516
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WMindfreak2–0
WUnderground ESC2–0
WRooster2–0
WMcTeam2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–0
LGround Zero2–3
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–1
LMindfreak0–2
WMcTeam2–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
WThe Gentlemans Kennel2–0
LChange The Game1–2
WVTM Esports1–0
LRare Atom0–1
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2