THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Underground ESC (TdU-UG) result: Dfrag Open Series #3 2026, 7 Feb 2026

91.3%Win probability before the match8.7%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Underground ESC: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating261 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1694) and Underground ESC (1433).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 1-0 Underground ESC in 1 meeting since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Dfrag Open Series #2 2025 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 9 of their last 10; Underground ESC won 5 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER are in much better shape. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 91% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Underground ESC: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamUnderground ESC
81% (26-6)Map win rate36% (27-49)
3-1Deciding maps won–lost1-5
75%Series wins without dropping a map89%
40 minAverage map length42 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Underground ESC: meetings before this one

1 meeting · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

The only meeting

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Underground ESC: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 9 of 10 wonUnderground ESC · 5 of 10 wonWonLost
137014951620174617011434137014951620174617011434
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WRooster2–0
WMcTeam2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–0
LGround Zero2–3
WMindfreak2–0
WLITE Esports2–0
WDing Cuts2–0
LMindfreak0–2
WShanghai Sharks ESC2–0
LLITE Esports0–2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
LMindfreak1–2
LRooster1–2
WMindfreak1–0
WBBBMBCBS2–0
WBlingus2–0