THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (TdU-MF) result: Dfrag Open Series #3 2026, 7 Feb 2026

72.6%Win probability before the match27.4%
Map 1THUNDER dOWNUNDERwonMap 2THUNDER dOWNUNDERwon
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THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: what the model expected

Quick read

  • Rating112 Elo points separate THUNDER dOWNUNDER (1700) and Mindfreak (1588).
  • Head-to-headTHUNDER dOWNUNDER 4-0 Mindfreak in 4 meetings since 2024. THUNDER dOWNUNDER took the previous meeting 2-0 at Dfrag Open Series #2 2025 (). More
  • FormTHUNDER dOWNUNDER won 9 of their last 10; Mindfreak won 7 of 10. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in slightly sharper. More
  • Bottom lineBefore the start, Eloline gave THUNDER dOWNUNDER a 73% chance. This number was recomputed afterwards from the rating history, not logged before the match.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: rosters

AWP
asap
dexterIGL
Liazz
aliStairProfile
Player comparison12 months before this match
80%Win rate33%
40Matches, 12 months18
9/10Last 10 matches3/10
won 8Current streaklost 2
27Age20
11/2025On the team since–
760eDPI–
74LORProfile
MindfreakElo: #319VRS: #258
IGL
void

Settings source: Liquipedia (CC BY-SA 3.0).

Team comparison

THUNDER dOWNUNDERTeamMindfreak
82% (28-6)Map win rate53% (87-78)
3-1Deciding maps won–lost7-13
77%Series wins without dropping a map75%
40 minAverage map length44 min
OpenTeam pageOpen

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: meetings before this one

4 meetings · Most recent: 2–0 to THUNDER dOWNUNDER ()

All 4 meetings

THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak: form going into the match

THUNDER dOWNUNDER · 9 of 10 wonMindfreak · 7 of 10 wonWonLost
152115961671174617001588152115961671174617001588
Elo after each match · oldernewer
WUnderground ESC2–0
WRooster2–0
WMcTeam2–1
WMindfreak2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WRooster2–0
WMindfreak2–1
WUnderground ESC2–0
LGround Zero2–3
WMindfreak2–0
WRooster2–0
WUnderground ESC2–0
WDing Cuts2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER0–2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WLITE Esports2–0
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–2
WLITE Esports2–1
WRooster2–0
WUnderground ESC2–1